Dec 11, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 11 00:36:10 UTC 2015 (20151211 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20151211 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151211 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20151211 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20151211 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20151211 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 110036

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0636 PM CST THU DEC 10 2015

   VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   CORRECTED FOR OUTLOOK GRAPHIC

   ...SUMMARY...
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT FROM WESTERN PARTS OF
   WASHINGTON AND OREGON INTO NORTH-CENTRAL CALIFORNIA.

   ...PACIFIC NW THROUGH NCNTRL CA...

   SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE
   NERN PACIFIC SPREADING INLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH ASCENT...STEEP
   LAPSE RATES...AND VERY COLD AIR ALOFT ATTENDING AN AMPLIFYING UPPER
   TROUGH. THIS ENVIRONMENT WAS SAMPLED BY THE UIL 00Z RAOB IN NW
   WASHINGTON WHICH INDICATES 500 J/KG MUCAPE WITHIN A CONVECTIVE LAYER
   EXTENDING FROM THE SFC TO AROUND 400 MB. SOME OF THE CONVECTION WILL
   REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MAINLY SMALL HAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

   ..DIAL.. 12/11/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z