Dec 19, 2015 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Dec 19 19:50:56 UTC 2015 (20151219 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20151219 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20151219 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20151219 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20151219 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20151219 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 191950

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0150 PM CST SAT DEC 19 2015

   VALID 192000Z - 201200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

   NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.

   ..BROYLES.. 12/19/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1002 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2015/

   DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE ORGANIZED
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE CONUS TODAY.  NEVERTHELESS...AN
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG THE
   PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...IN THE LEE OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...OR
   OVER PARTS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z