Jan 12, 2015 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 12 06:34:36 UTC 2015 (20150112 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20150112 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150112 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150112 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 120634

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1234 AM CST MON JAN 12 2015

   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL GENERALLY BE LIMITED ON TUESDAY...BUT A
   FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND/OR PARTS
   OF FLORIDA.

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PROGRESSIVE/SPLIT UPPER FLOW WILL GENERALLY CONTINUE OVER THE CONUS
   THROUGH TUESDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE WEST COAST
   WHILE A POSITIVE-TILT TROUGH MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN TOWARD THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT
   MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC/NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...HIGH
   PRESSURE/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT OVER THE MAJORITY OF
   THE CONUS. 

   FOR THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS AREA...AHEAD OF THE
   AFOREMENTIONED AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...SUFFICIENTLY STEEP
   LAPSE RATES/WEAK CAPE MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES
   PRIMARILY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO
   OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FL AND THE ADJACENT OFFSHORE WATERS.
   AIDED BY A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...AN ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM
   OR TWO CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT WITHIN THE POST-FRONTAL
   ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NORTH FL/FAR SOUTH GA...BUT THE THERMODYNAMIC
   PROFILES ARE LIKELY TO ONLY BE MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF
   THUNDERSTORMS AT BEST.

   ..GUYER.. 01/12/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z