SPC AC 271709
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2015
VALID 281200Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE
SATURDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE WEST...MAINLY FROM PARTS OF THE GREAT
BASIN INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO...AND ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF
CALIFORNIA.
...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SWD ALONG THE WEST COAST SATURDAY AS
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CLOSES OFF OVER THE CNTRL CA AROUND 00Z/SUN. AT
THE SFC...A LOW REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WHERE
LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN MARKEDLY DURING THE DAY. THIS ALONG WITH
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEST COAST SYSTEM SHOULD
RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM SERN NV EWD INTO THE
SAN JUAN MTNS OF WRN CO. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR THE
CORE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST OF
CA. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD AIR ALOFT MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SMALL
HAIL IN THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE WRN U.S. SATURDAY AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.
..BROYLES.. 02/27/2015
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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