SPC AC 300557
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2015
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS VICINITY.
OTHERWISE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS A
BROADER REGION OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES...AS WELL AS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.
...DISCUSSION...
ERN U.S. UPPER TROUGHING IS PROGGED TO REMAIN IN PLACE DAY
TWO...GRADUALLY EVOLVING INTO A PAIR OF CLOSED LOWS -- OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. AND THE SECOND OVER QUEBEC. MEANWHILE IN THE W...A
SECOND TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE ERN PACIFIC IS FORECAST TO MOVE
TOWARD/INTO THE GREAT BASIN/NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.
AT THE SURFACE...BROAD LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO RESIDE OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN W AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING UPPER SYSTEM...WHILE A LARGE
HIGH REMAINS IN PLACE FROM QUEBEC SSWWD TO TX. IN THE
SOUTHEAST...WEAK TROUGHING/LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST...AS THE UPPER
LOW GRADUALLY EVOLVES.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST OVER THE
SOUTHEAST STATES...WITHIN THE MOIST/TROPICAL AIRMASS RESIDING ACROSS
THIS AREA. SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE ROCKIES/INTERMOUNTAIN W AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING UPPER SYSTEM.
WITH SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARING LESS LIKELY ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS VICINITY DUE TO MORE PRONOUNCED RIDGING/SUBSIDENCE THAN WAS
APPARENT IN THE PRIOR FORECAST...HAVE OPTED TO REMOVE THE MRGL RISK
AREA. APPRECIABLE SEVERE RISK APPEARS UNLIKELY ATTM ACROSS THE U.S.
THIS PERIOD.
..GOSS.. 09/30/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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