SPC AC 011726

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1126 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2015

   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WESTERN/CENTRAL GA EAST TO
   MUCH OF SC...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE FROM WESTERN AND
   CENTRAL GEORGIA ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CAROLINA ON MONDAY.

   ..SYNOPSIS...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD DAMPEN WHILE PROGRESSING THROUGH THE DEEP
   SOUTH TO THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. 
   ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS FROM
   CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ALABAMA TOWARDS SOUTH CAROLINA ALONG A
   QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. IN THE WEST...A SEASONABLY-STRONG UPPER
   TROUGH SHOULD DEVELOP BY TUESDAY MORNING AS A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE
   IMPULSE REACHES THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN.

   ...PORTIONS OF GA/SC...
   AS THE WEAKENING SURFACE LOW MOVES EAST ALONG THE QUASI-STATIONARY
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY DURING THE DAY MONDAY...A BELT OF STRONGER LOW-MID
   LEVEL WINDS WILL ALSO WEAKEN WHILE SHIFTING EAST ACROSS A MOIST WARM
   SECTOR /UPPER 60S-LOWER 70S DEW POINTS/. LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR
   ASCENT COMBINED WITH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE SHOULD RESULT IN A FEW
   CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE
   EVENING AS MODEST SURFACE-BASED DESTABILIZATION DEVELOPS SOUTH OF
   THE FRONT. POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THE DEGREE OF
   DESTABILIZATION...HOWEVER WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND LOW
   LCL HEIGHTS...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
   WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.

   ..BUNTING.. 11/01/2015

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z