Apr 2, 2015 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Apr 2 07:04:16 UTC 2015 (20150402 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20150402 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20150402 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20150402 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 020704

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0204 AM CDT THU APR 02 2015

   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF A
   COLD FRONT ADVANCING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH
   CENTRAL U.S. SATURDAY.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   AS AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH OFF THE WRN CANADA COAST CONTINUES ADVANCING
   SSEWD AND REACHES THE NWRN U.S. THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE
   PERIOD...A SECOND/ERN U.S. TROUGH IS PROGGED TO SHIFT OFF THE
   ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNSET.  

   AT THE SURFACE...A COOL FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WRN UPPER TROUGH
   IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS NRN CA AND INTO THE WRN GREAT BASIN.
   FARTHER E...A FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY EWD OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
   SWD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE MORNING HOURS...AND THEN ON
   SWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH THE DAY.

   ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF THE PAC NW AS THE UPPER TROUGH
   ADVANCES TOWARD/INTO THE AREA...AND A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES
   CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS AS THE
   FRONT CROSSES THIS REGION.  OVERNIGHT...ELEVATED SHOWERS AND A
   FEW/EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS IN
   CONJUNCTION WITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET.  LITTLE RISK FOR SEVERE
   WEATHER IS EVIDENT WITHIN ANY OF THESE CONVECTIVE RISK AREAS.

   ..GOSS.. 04/02/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z