SPC AC 220723
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2015
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT
FROM THE NORTHEAST U.S. INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND GULF COAST STATES.
SCATTERED STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST U.S.
...SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE GREAT LAKES/SOUTHERN
ONTARIO MONDAY WHILE CONTINUING TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. UPPER LEVEL
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION. A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND FROM THE NORTHEAST U.S. SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST STATES...THEN WESTWARD INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
...NORTHEAST U.S....
MODEST HEIGHT FALLS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEAST U.S. MONDAY AS
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW SHIFTS EAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT ENCOUNTERS A
SEASONABLY MOIST AIR MASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF AROUND
1.25 INCHES. THE STRONGER LOW-MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS...ALREADY
DIMINISHING AS THE UPPER LOW GRADUALLY FILLS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO
LAG BEHIND THE FRONT. THUS...THE ENVIRONMENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONT WILL LIKELY BE WEAKLY SHEARED AND ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE.
ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...THE SEVERE THREAT
MONDAY APPEARS TOO LOW TO OUTLINE A RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS.
..BUNTING.. 08/22/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z
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