Storm Prediction Center Oct 9, 2015 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook


Oct 9, 2015 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 9 06:21:50 UTC 2015 ( \| )
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

Categorical Graphic

Day 3 Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Probabilistic Graphic

20151009 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

Day 3 Prob. Risk	Area (sq. mi.)	Area Pop.	Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

   SPC AC 090621

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0121 AM CDT FRI OCT 09 2015

   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY...PRIMARILY OVER THE
   SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

   ...DISCUSSION...

   A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP SUNDAY OVER THE SRN THIRD OF THE FL
   PENINSULA WITHIN THE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. 

   ELSEWHERE...A PROGRESSIVE NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...THE UPPER MS
   VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM PROSPECTS SHOULD
   REMAIN LOW WITH THIS FEATURE DUE TO EXPECTED LIMITED MOISTURE AND
   INSTABILITY.

   ..DIAL.. 10/09/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z