SPC AC 240649
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW FOR MONDAY.
...SYNOPSIS...
AN INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL BE PREVALENT OVER
THE CONUS MONDAY. THIS WILL INCLUDE AN EASTWARD-MOVING UPPER LOW
OVER THE GULF COAST STATES...WHILE TROUGH AMPLIFICATION OTHERWISE
OCCURS OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT PLAINS. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH
PLAINS MAINLY MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...WHILE THUNDERSTORMS
/PERHAPS SOME STRONG/ WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE GULF
COAST REGION.
...CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...
WHILE A FEW STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND
DAMAGE OR A TORNADO CANNOT BE CONCLUSIVELY RULED OUT IN THE DAY 3
TIME FRAME ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LA/MS/AL TO THE FL
PANHANDLE...ANY SEVERE RISK CURRENTLY APPEARS LOW/TOO SPECULATIVE.
THIS IS MAINLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE EXPECTED WEAKENING OF THE
NEAR-COASTAL CYCLONE AND ITS RELATED WIND FIELD...WHILE BUOYANCY
OVER INLAND AREAS SHOULD ALSO REMAIN WEAK WITH
PERSISTENT/POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE REGION.
..GUYER.. 10/24/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z
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