DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1134 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2017 VALID TIME 291630Z - 301200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 27699662 28629910 30199953 32049893 33379833 35979632 37289446 39469133 40358717 40048211 40257873 40207738 39927594 39457480 38977471 37947521 37827583 38407860 38678159 38168394 36698723 35078900 33149017 30409188 28989309 0.05 32689768 34009657 35479558 36689419 38299085 38359031 37898921 37268901 35809076 34909113 33059140 32039206 30959321 30439412 30099576 30409693 31189762 32689768 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 27789596 27849700 28139795 29090024 29410072 30320018 32029981 32449914 33579858 36709709 38549448 40978853 41348704 40877771 39977531 39187416 38557429 37327513 37337623 38347968 38388143 38218383 36698701 34928892 33168968 32319013 31089103 29839218 28989314 0.15 33769007 31559140 29799326 29479460 28769746 29209946 29949988 31909883 33259708 35369566 37489422 39129152 40408714 39788484 39638399 39428364 38818367 38718483 37928681 36888839 35808945 33769007 0.30 30449882 31269847 32349698 34879550 36729389 37489248 37329159 36529106 35599216 34399305 32699405 31249556 30149653 29979794 30449882 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27789596 27849692 28139800 29140027 29350072 30280026 32089974 32389928 33529844 36859686 38589470 41018852 40468363 40107649 39517465 38967432 37477522 37367622 38037817 38358001 38308297 37678485 36948677 35008880 32479004 30429155 29049302 0.15 35658948 33569010 31639132 29809323 29479460 29169612 28909733 29129937 30009980 31929886 33169708 35449551 37569402 39189128 40488693 39758468 39748304 39238266 38798292 38748479 38298601 37928681 36888839 35658948 0.30 30329885 31279850 32249700 34789526 36789376 38279063 38318986 37968920 37298927 36709001 35929077 35209119 33689158 32049236 31039317 30429421 30169583 29979802 30329885 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 37968920 37298927 36709001 35929077 35209119 33689158 32049236 31039317 30429421 30169583 30009772 29979794 29979795 29979802 30329885 31279850 31559808 32349698 34669523 36729389 37489248 38279063 38318986 37968920 SLGT 39238266 38798292 38758432 38718483 37928681 36888839 35798942 33928993 32609071 31559140 29799326 29479460 28769746 29079886 29129937 29189938 29209946 29949988 31899889 33259715 35389558 37349438 39129152 39808934 40488693 39768471 39758465 39748304 39238266 MRGL 27749664 28149801 29050009 29350071 29780051 30280026 31299996 32059979 32469918 33409864 35699747 36729706 36879696 38399433 41008842 41348704 40877771 39977531 39187416 39107417 37487545 37447625 38227921 38358003 38328245 38278305 37678485 37418557 36698700 35848808 34988869 33948932 32498996 31279090 30379166 29099307 TSTM 49360423 46870655 45790819 45651011 46521198 48241262 49501219 99999999 29590226 30920429 31580518 32280613 32940639 33240651 33970606 33970581 33690416 33270325 32380166 31790066 32509942 33119898 33929881 35799858 36829835 38069910 39660005 40679984 41389829 42409420 43008992 43078600 43068113 42907780 42697621 42317439 41227179 40717145 99999999 37557446 36997724 35617981 32908224 31828378 30918625 30468869 29568967 28479034 99999999 26699545 28049823 29350116 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE MDH 15 ENE CGI 25 E POF 10 NW JBR 45 SE BVX 10 ENE LLQ 40 SSW MLU POE 35 NNW BPT 45 SE CLL 20 S AUS 20 NNE BAZ 20 NNE BAZ 15 N BAZ 55 ESE JCT 45 SE BWD 45 S SEP 35 SSW DAL 35 ESE MLC 10 S UMN 25 SW TBN 35 SSW STL 15 S BLV 10 NNE MDH. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W UNI 35 NW HTS 25 SSE LUK 35 SW LUK 25 NE OWB 25 ESE PAH 15 S DYR 30 NNE GWO 40 WNW JAN 10 SW HEZ 25 S LCH 15 NE GLS 30 NNE NIR 25 SE HDO 20 SW HDO 15 SW HDO 20 WSW HDO 40 S JCT BWD 30 NNE FTW 25 SSW MKO 15 NNE JLN 45 ENE COU 20 ESE SPI LAF 30 WSW DAY 25 WSW DAY 20 SSW CMH 25 W UNI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E CRP 25 SW NIR 55 ESE DRT 15 E DRT 35 NE DRT 35 WSW JCT 30 E SJT 25 SSW ABI 30 E ABI 40 SSW SPS 20 NNE OKC PNC 15 NE PNC 40 SE OJC 30 SSE MMO 10 SSW VPZ 10 ENE UNV 10 NNW PHL 30 SE ACY 35 SE ACY 30 S WAL 35 N ORF 15 WSW SHD 40 SSW EKN HTS 30 WSW HTS 30 SSW LEX 55 S SDF 25 ENE CKV 50 ENE MKL 45 SSE MKL 35 SSE UOX 15 NNE JAN 25 WNW MCB 25 ENE LFT 75 S LCH. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW ISN 45 NW MLS 15 E BIL 15 ESE LVM HLN 30 SSW CTB 60 N CTB ...CONT... 30 S 6R6 40 NNW MRF 30 SW GDP 35 NNE ELP 20 WNW ALM 35 NW ALM 25 WSW 4CR 10 SW 4CR 35 NE ROW 40 N HOB 15 NW BGS 30 NNW SJT 15 ENE ABI 55 WNW MWL 20 W SPS 45 NE CSM 20 ENE AVK 50 ENE DDC 20 NNW HLC 45 W EAR 30 N GRI 10 S FOD 20 SE LNR 15 ESE MKG 85 NW ERI 15 SSW ROC 20 NE ITH 45 SW ALB 10 WNW BID 35 SSE BID ...CONT... 60 ESE WAL 35 S RIC 35 SSE GSO 35 SSW AGS 30 NE ABY 20 ENE CEW 25 E GPT 25 NW BVE 80 SSE HUM ...CONT... 135 ENE BRO 25 NNW ALI 15 W DRT.