Jan 24, 2017 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 24 19:49:43 UTC 2017 (20170124 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170124 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170124 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20170124 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20170124 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20170124 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 241949

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0149 PM CST Tue Jan 24 2017

   Valid 242000Z - 251200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the Lower 48
   states today.

   No changes are needed to the previous forecast.

   ..Smith.. 01/24/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Tue Jan 24 2017/

   No significant changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.  It
   remains possible for scattered thunderstorms to occur today along
   the southern CA coast, the Four Corners area, parts of the upper MS
   valley, and eastern MA.  Relatively weak instability and moisture in
   each of these regions should preclude severe storms.  Please refer
   to the previous outlook for a more thorough discussion on the
   thunderstorm potential.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z