Jan 26, 2017 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 26 00:57:18 UTC 2017 (20170126 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170126 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170126 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20170126 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20170126 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20170126 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 260057

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0657 PM CST Wed Jan 25 2017

   Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms will be possible across portions of the Southeast
   through tonight.

   ...Discussion...
   Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms accompanying a cold front
   will continue spreading eastward and northeastward across portions
   of the Southeast through the overnight hours. A few strong storms
   cannot be ruled out given sufficient deep shear -- especially from
   portions of southeastern MS through central AL and northwest GA.
   However, the combination of limited pre-frontal moisture return, the
   undercutting nature of the front, boundary-layer cooling and
   stabilization, capping aloft, deep ascent lagging the front, and
   veered low-level flow ahead of the front will mitigate severe
   potential.

   ..Cohen.. 01/26/2017

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z