Jan 26, 2017 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 26 16:18:08 UTC 2017 (20170126 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170126 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170126 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20170126 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20170126 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20170126 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 261618

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1018 AM CST Thu Jan 26 2017

   Valid 261630Z - 271200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms may affect portions of eastern Georgia/South
   Carolina/Georgia and northern Florida today.

   ...Southeast Coast...
   A broad surface ridge is present today over the western and central
   United States, while a cold front sweeps southeastward toward the
   Carolinas and FL.  Moist and marginally unstable air is in place
   ahead of the front from the FL Peninsula into eastern GA/SC/NC. 
   Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are expected in parts of
   this corridor this afternoon before moving offshore tonight.  No
   severe storms are expected.

   Elsewhere across the CONUS, relatively dry and stable conditions
   will preclude organized thunderstorms today.

   ..Hart/Kerr.. 01/26/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z