Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 271947
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0147 PM CST Fri Jan 27 2017
Valid 272000Z - 281200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
through tonight.
No changes are made to the outlook for this issuance.
..Broyles.. 01/27/2017
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2017/
...Discussion...
A continental-polar air mass extending through much of the Gulf
should preclude thunderstorm potential. Modest low-level warm-air
advection tonight should result in elevated showers developing from
the Edwards Plateau to south Texas. Buoyancy and instability should
remain too weak to support charge separation.
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z