Jan 27, 2017 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 27 19:47:20 UTC 2017 (20170127 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20170127 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170127 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20170127 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20170127 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20170127 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 271947

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 PM CST Fri Jan 27 2017

   Valid 272000Z - 281200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the contiguous United States
   through tonight.

   No changes are made to the outlook for this issuance.

   ..Broyles.. 01/27/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2017/

   ...Discussion...
   A continental-polar air mass extending through much of the Gulf
   should preclude thunderstorm potential. Modest low-level warm-air
   advection tonight should result in elevated showers developing from
   the Edwards Plateau to south Texas. Buoyancy and instability should
   remain too weak to support charge separation.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z