Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 %
15,220
334,476
Amarillo, TX...Hereford, TX...Canyon, TX...
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 310044
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Sun Jul 30 2017
Valid 310100Z - 311200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND FAR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered storms in the western Texas Panhandle and far northeastern
New Mexico will pose a marginal risk for damaging winds through
sunset.
...Western Texas Panhandle and far northeastern New Mexico...
Scattered thunderstorms have developed and begun to slowly propagate
northeastward across the area. These storms are propagating through
an axis of moderate instability that will aid in a continued,
although isolated, damaging wind threat into the early overnight
hours. Storms should undergo a weakening trend after dark with the
onset of nocturnal boundary layer cooling and stabilization.
...Central/Southwestern Nebraska...
Southward-moving linear segments continue to propagate across the
region currently. Storms have generally been sub-severe, with
downdraft cores well-separated from gust fronts - characteristic of
an environment containing weak low-level shear. A weakening trend
should commence soon as nocturnal boundary layer cooling commences,
lessening an already marginal risk for hail/wind damage. As such,
severe probabilities have been removed for this outlook update.
..Cook.. 07/31/2017
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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