Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 081618
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1118 AM CDT Sun Oct 08 2017
Valid 081630Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTRAL/EASTERN
GA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...
A brief tornado or two and localized damaging thunderstorm winds
will be possible this afternoon from parts of Georgia into the
As tropical depression Nate weakens, the belt of stronger low-level
winds will become centered across the southern Appalachians by 00Z.
Weak diabatic heating will remain confined to the south and east of
ongoing rain bands across eastern AL/western GA and the FL
Panhandle. This should promote some overlap of modestly enlarged
low-level hodographs where surface temperatures warm into the upper
70s and 80s. A north/south-oriented convective band has recently
developed across south-central GA and this should move to the
east-northeast through the afternoon. The setup should support risks
of a brief tornado and locally strong thunderstorm wind gusts.
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z