Dec 10, 2017 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Dec 10 19:12:10 UTC 2017 (20171210 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20171210 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171210 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20171210 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20171210 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20171210 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 101912

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0112 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

   Valid 102000Z - 111200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected today and tonight.

   Thunderstorms remain unlikely across the CONUS for the day 1 period
   with a decided lack of instability.

   ..Jewell.. 12/10/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0957 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017/

   Dry and stable conditions will preclude organized thunderstorms
   across the nation today.  An isolated lightning strike or two is
   possible this afternoon in the more intense lake-effect snow bands
   over NY, but this activity is expected to remain very sparse.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z