Feb 1, 2017 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 1 16:27:32 UTC 2017 (20170201 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20170201 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170201 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20170201 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 011627

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1027 AM CST Wed Feb 01 2017

   Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Appreciable thunderstorm activity is not expected across the U.S. on
   Thursday.

   Forecaster thinking has not changed from the previous outlook.  For
   meteorological details, see the discussion below.

   ...Synopsis...
   Low-amplitude cyclonic flow aloft is forecast to prevail over
   roughly the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. this period, while
   ridging persists across the Western States ahead of a slowly
   advancing eastern Pacific low/trough.

   As this trough nears the West Coast, showers -- and perhaps a few
   embedded lightning strikes -- will affect portions of CA and OR, and
   possibly western NV and southern WA.

   Elsewhere, scattered showers may occur across portions of the Gulf
   Coast States, as a weak short-wave trough moves across the northern
   Gulf.  Lightning risk appears minimal at this time.

   ..Smith.. 02/01/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z