SPC AC 150405

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1105 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

   Valid 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms will be limited to portions of the Southeast Monday.

   ...Discussion...

   Southern fringe of large-scale forcing will glance the Southeast
   Monday as a pronounced trough shifts east of the Appalachians by
   17/00z. Associated surface front will advance into the northern FL
   Peninsula by mid afternoon where frontal convergence should be the
   primary focus for convection and potential thunderstorm activity.
   Models suggest surface-based convection will develop near the wind
   shift but adequate lift atop the boundary should contribute to a few
   elevated thunderstorms as well. Otherwise, isolated thunderstorms
   are possible across the central/southern Peninsula during the day
   when buoyancy will be maximized along sea-breeze boundaries.

   ..Darrow.. 10/15/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z