Oct 28, 2017 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Oct 28 04:33:31 UTC 2017 (20171028 0600Z Day 2 shapefile | 20171028 0600Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171028 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20171028 0600 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 280433

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1133 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

   Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe storms are not expected over the continental U.S. Sunday.

   ...Mid Atlantic through New England...
   A strong shortwave - initially centered across the Ohio and
   Tennessee Valleys - will strengthen while taking on a negative tilt
   across the southern Appalachians.  A very strong (80-90 kt)
   mid-level jet will eject around the base of this trough and along
   the coast of the Carolinas throughout the day.

   At the surface, a trough initially located along an axis from
   central Pennsylvania southward to the Gulf Stream will shift
   eastward over time as a coastal low quickly organizes and moves
   northward to near southeastern New York State by the end of the
   period.  Along and ahead of this surface trough/coastal low, low-60s
   F dewpoints will aid in development of very marginal buoyancy, which
   should be limited due to poor lapse rates.  A few thunderstorms are
   possible, although any severe wind risk should be limited and shift
   quickly offshore during the early morning hours.

   ..Cook.. 10/28/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z