Nov 7, 2017 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 7 06:43:44 UTC 2017 (20171107 0700Z Day 2 shapefile | 20171107 0700Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171107 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20171107 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070643

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1243 AM CST Tue Nov 07 2017

   Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe storms are not expected across the U.S. Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   A positively tilted mid-level trough will continue advancing
   southeast across the central and eastern U.S. Wednesday/Day 2, while
   a second system -- a large low off the Pacific Northwest coast --
   drifts eastward and begins to nose inland.  Finally, a short-wave
   trough -- embedded within cyclonic flow around a large Hudson Bay
   vortex -- is forecast to progress east-southeast across the northern
   Plains and upper Great Lakes through the end of the period.

   At the surface, a clipper-type front is forecast shift across the
   north-central U.S. and Great Lakes in conjunction with the
   aforementioned upper feature.  Meanwhile, a front lingering near the
   Gulf Coast will continue sliding slowly southward into the Gulf of
   Mexico.  Finally, a low -- barotropically aligned beneath the upper
   vortex -- will linger off the Pacific Northwest coast.

   Widespread showers are expected across parts of the western U.S. as
   the eastern Pacific storm system approaches.  A few lightning
   strikes may also occur, mainly late in the period over the higher
   terrain of the Pacific Northwest.  Meanwhile, showers are also
   forecast near and to the cool side of the southern U.S. surface
   front.  A thunderstorm or two may also occur within this zone --
   both across the southern New Mexico/West Texas vicinity in
   conjunction with an advancing upper wave, and over the southeast
   U.S. where some elevated CAPE may linger.  In both areas, convection
   is forecast to remain weak/disorganized.

   ..Goss.. 11/07/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z