Dec 8, 2017 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 8 16:29:05 UTC 2017 (20171208 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20171208 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20171208 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Day 2 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
MARGINAL 24,461 8,109,608 Miami, FL...Hialeah, FL...Fort Lauderdale, FL...Pembroke Pines, FL...Hollywood, FL...
Probabilistic Graphic
20171208 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 2 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
5 % 24,483 8,103,080 Miami, FL...Hialeah, FL...Fort Lauderdale, FL...Pembroke Pines, FL...Hollywood, FL...
   SPC AC 081629

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1029 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2017

   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MUCH OF SOUTHERN
   FLORIDA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A few severe thunderstorms with damaging winds are possible morning
   through midday on Saturday across southern Florida.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A highly amplified pattern will exist on Saturday with an upper high
   over the West, and an extensive upper trough across eastern North
   America. A cold front will be located over central Florida Saturday
   morning, and will rapidly progress offshore by late afternoon. A
   moist air mass will exist ahead of the front, contributing to
   sufficient instability for a few severe storms. Damaging winds are
   most likely with the linear storm mode along the front. It should be
   noted that the likelihood of ongoing convection near the front lends
   some uncertainty as to the timing of frontal passage, as outflow can
   accelerate the boundary faster than expected.

   ..Jewell.. 12/08/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z