Mar 13, 2017 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Mar 13 04:22:27 UTC 2017 (20170313 0730Z Day 3 shapefile | 20170313 0730Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20170313 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20170313 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 130422

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1122 PM CDT Sun Mar 12 2017

   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms are not expected across the USA on Wednesday.

   ...Synopsis...
   With a large area of cyclonic flow aloft enveloping the northeast, a
   surface high will settle into the OH/TN valleys, providing stable
   air across most of the central and eastern states. The exception
   will be across central and southern TX, where southerly surface
   winds around the high will begin to bring 50s to near 60 dewpoints
   into the region. Despite some moistening, the air mass is expected
   to remain capped, and with little to favor lift except weak warm
   advection.

   To the west, an upper trough will move across the Pacific northwest
   with strong cooling aloft and widespread showers likely. However,
   any instability will be very weak, and storms are unlikely.

   ..Jewell.. 03/13/2017

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z