DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1256 AM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018 VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 38129790 38979759 40049742 40759686 41079567 41249413 41069271 40749207 40209152 39489147 38809188 37689391 36049658 34229811 32719923 30780021 30510099 30990161 32530156 33770152 35210094 35890045 36309979 36709912 37349858 38129790 0.05 37789483 37599550 37679621 38029665 38309682 38739682 39189641 39689626 40149612 40609578 40739506 40749416 40399357 39669331 39009359 38529394 38139468 37789483 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29040273 29480252 29810244 30380232 31600194 32900192 33820185 34830200 35740269 36660367 37260401 38060436 38710439 39270394 39690319 39930208 40070111 40510011 41269916 42019798 42459695 42859352 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 39698912 39398899 38728870 37858886 37528905 37138938 36919003 36869092 36699198 36519295 36399395 36289469 35799569 35149638 34069729 33249789 32909816 28480065 0.05 43037939 41957850 40847880 40357910 38897995 37018183 36808323 36938421 37428463 39168381 39918346 40778304 42198233 42558215 42788203 43098181 0.15 35850049 36159987 36739921 37459845 37959794 38699764 39189755 39729761 40149747 40439724 40729691 40839672 40909643 41039576 41189456 41119294 40599181 40279156 39659145 39109170 38739198 38419255 38009340 37299468 36219645 35089750 32349941 30680032 30470103 30940149 32280166 33810148 35200111 35850049 0.30 37209809 37929751 38419701 38969646 40149613 40489598 40679554 40759483 40679393 40299353 39609351 39389362 38949376 38809384 38469412 38309440 38009484 37529542 37179582 36879618 36709661 36599731 36669789 37209809 SIGN 37809520 37769566 37859612 38099656 38339667 38549667 38679661 38959646 39209633 39619622 40149616 40509597 40679559 40739497 40699398 40289353 39899352 39609354 39259366 38909378 38469408 37989486 37809520 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29010276 29850241 31770192 33010181 34830204 35830287 36350324 36980328 37430295 37650125 38919896 40299752 40799686 41259566 41669386 41689216 41569052 41358978 40998907 40618862 40138819 39618811 39128816 38458825 37848877 37258923 37008980 36729133 36529312 36399387 35899454 35099529 30469924 28520102 0.05 43257961 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 42408222 42968181 0.15 40439606 40839492 40979367 41039271 40689175 40379141 39549142 38969168 38509218 38079330 36599592 35119738 33849831 30710029 30400106 31000150 32280170 34220144 35240090 36159987 37099879 38129781 40439606 0.30 33789936 33709968 33720013 33800054 34030068 34260070 35030039 35679984 35799946 35819879 35759857 35589835 35279830 35149830 34799842 34319865 34049876 33789936 0.30 38229436 37119591 36839657 36919726 37119766 37499766 38279673 39039573 39839501 40149443 40189373 39999346 39649354 39049363 38739388 38229436 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40299353 40039352 39999346 39779351 39609351 39499356 39049363 38739388 38639397 38469412 38429417 38229436 37169584 36879618 36709661 36599731 36669789 37209809 37929751 38419701 38969646 40149613 40489598 40679554 40759483 40679393 40299353 ENH 35759857 35589835 35279830 35149830 34799842 34319865 34049876 33789936 33709968 33720013 33800054 34030068 34260070 35030039 35679984 35799946 35819879 35759857 SLGT 41039275 41039271 40689175 40379141 39549142 38969168 38509218 38149312 38009340 37299468 36469606 35119738 33849831 30710029 30700031 30680032 30620052 30400106 30780133 30940149 31060151 32280170 34220144 34480130 35200111 35850049 36159987 36739921 37439848 38029791 38699764 39189755 39729761 40149747 40439724 40729691 40839672 40909643 41039576 41189456 41119294 41039275 MRGL 43008245 42558215 42198233 41708254 99999999 42777917 42757916 41987846 41097870 40987876 40847880 40357910 38897995 37818105 36958187 36808322 36938421 37238447 37428465 38728405 39568362 39918346 40778304 41708258 MRGL 41708258 41708258 MRGL 29810244 30380232 31160208 31690194 32900192 33520187 34830204 35830287 36080305 36660368 37260401 38060436 38710439 39260394 39690319 39930208 40070111 40510011 41269916 42019798 42459696 42859352 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 40938900 40618862 40138819 39628811 39128816 38458825 37848877 37258923 37228931 37138938 36929003 36899039 36729133 36599256 36519295 36439362 36399387 35899454 35099529 30469924 29580006 28740051 TSTM 28408999 30269068 32468975 33568962 35098984 35829058 36159161 36149251 35639400 34819501 33619595 32289700 31029777 29609853 28259951 27669991 27200013 99999999 28660335 31610307 32990297 34050286 34660293 35230301 36030375 36600637 36360890 36531173 36851414 36091768 36121921 39252134 40572204 40962333 42532348 44042184 45471999 46871644 47011534 45501254 44951021 43940941 42520944 40790870 40170639 39980423 40760308 42480244 43210122 43559943 43809721 44039465 44279262 44609035 43928798 43788657 43858473 44078166 99999999 45397453 45486943 45206664 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE LWD 15 NNE CDJ 15 NNE CDJ CDJ 15 SSE CDJ 25 S CDJ 20 N SZL 20 W SZL 25 WSW SZL 35 WSW SZL 40 WSW SZL 50 SSE OJC 30 NNE BVO 10 NW BVO 25 E PNC 15 SW PNC 20 N END 25 ESE P28 20 NNW ICT 45 SE SLN 15 SE MHK 30 W FNB 35 NW FNB 10 SW SDA 30 E SDA LWD 30 SE LWD. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE CSM 40 NNW CHK 20 WNW CHK 20 W CHK 10 N FSI 25 NNW SPS 15 WNW SPS 50 WSW SPS 60 SE CDS 50 S CDS 45 SSW CDS 35 SW CDS 25 WSW CDS 40 N CDS 45 S GAG 35 NNW CSM 40 NE CSM 45 NE CSM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW OTM 15 WSW OTM 35 WSW BRL 30 NNW UIN 30 SSW UIN 30 ENE COU JEF 45 SSE SZL 50 S SZL 15 NW JLN 20 NNW TUL 25 SSE OKC 15 SE SPS 35 WNW JCT 35 WNW JCT 35 WNW JCT 45 W JCT 70 N DRT 65 SW SJT 65 WSW SJT 65 WSW SJT 10 WNW BGS 15 ENE PVW 30 NE PVW 35 E AMA 50 SW GAG 10 SSW GAG 30 W AVK 10 NNE P28 HUT SLN 25 SSE CNK 10 N CNK 40 WSW BIE 30 WNW BIE 10 SW LNK LNK 20 E LNK 20 SSE OMA 50 NW LWD 15 SE OXV 15 WSW OTM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE MTC 35 E MTC 40 SE MTC 40 WNW CLE ...CONT... 25 WSW BUF 25 WSW BUF 15 NE BFD 10 ESE DUJ 15 SSE DUJ 25 SSE DUJ 15 ENE LBE EKN BKW 45 WSW BLF 50 WNW TRI 15 SW LOZ 25 WNW LOZ 40 NW LOZ 35 SE LUK 40 SE DAY 30 W CMH 25 W MFD 45 WNW CLE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW CLE 45 WNW CLE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW 6R6 25 NNW 6R6 55 ENE FST 25 SE MAF 55 NNW BGS 10 SSW LBB 30 SSW AMA 20 SW DHT 25 SSE CAO 35 WNW CAO 20 E TAD 15 SSE PUB 20 ESE COS 15 W LIC 35 S AKO 45 NNW GLD 30 WSW MCK 35 NE MCK 25 ESE BBW 30 W OFK 30 W SUX 25 SSW MCW 10 WNW MSN 25 ESE MSN 15 E JVL 15 WSW MMO 30 N BMI 20 ENE BMI 10 NE CMI 15 NE MTO 25 SSE MTO 35 ENE MVN 25 E MDH 20 E CGI 15 E CGI 10 ESE CGI 25 ENE POF 10 NNE POF 30 E UNO 25 N FLP 20 NNE HRO 30 WNW HRO 30 NNE FYV 20 WSW FYV 30 ENE MLC 30 E JCT 55 ENE DRT 50 SSE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW BVE 30 NW MSY 20 ENE JAN 25 E GWO 10 ENE MEM JBR 30 N BVX FLP 25 SSE FYV 25 WSW RKR 30 W PRX 40 WNW CRS 25 WSW TPL SAT 20 SW COT 30 WNW LRD 45 WSW LRD ...CONT... 115 SW 6R6 15 SSE INK 25 NE HOB 35 SE CVS 30 NE CVS 35 E TCC 45 SW CAO 50 NE 4SL 45 SW FMN 30 SSW PGA 35 WSW SGU 30 N NID 50 N BFL 50 N SAC 30 NNE RBL 40 E ACV 35 WNW MFR 35 WSW RDM 60 E DLS 35 ENE PUW 40 S 3TH 15 N DLN 50 ENE WEY 45 SSW COD 35 E BPI 50 ENE VEL 45 NE EGE 35 ENE DEN 25 SSW SNY 35 NNE AIA 40 NW VTN 15 SSW 9V9 30 WNW FSD 30 NNW FRM 25 NNW RST 35 WSW CWA 20 SW MTW 35 SSW MBL 35 S HTL 70 ENE BAX ...CONT... 35 NNE MSS 55 NNW BGR 25 NE EPM.