DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0756 AM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018 VALID TIME 191300Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37859786 39029825 39599797 40389705 41099556 41199392 40999252 40599108 40089054 39409024 38709035 38089131 37909252 37689391 36049658 34419854 32999957 30780021 30510099 30990161 32730163 33770152 35210094 35460059 36019972 36389906 37149818 37859786 0.05 37919490 37719564 37869629 38029665 38449702 38799737 39099745 39569740 39939699 40489580 40629501 40579410 40399299 40109253 39609230 38989249 38109451 37919490 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29430264 30050298 30830296 32540239 34110225 35020216 35910313 36200432 36870505 37530504 37870492 38020439 37690299 37800212 39320126 40240038 41369908 42019798 42459695 42859352 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 39698912 39398899 38728870 37858886 37528905 37138938 36919003 36869092 36699198 36519295 36399395 36289469 35799569 35149638 33869755 33499787 32669848 28480065 0.15 34550146 35290149 35830242 36580361 36970354 36970285 36680154 36410049 36409974 36719893 37449822 37839808 38399807 39039845 39619833 39979774 40389729 40869635 41149563 41339435 41119294 40599181 40279156 39659145 39209160 38219175 37419263 36849389 36219645 35089750 32559956 30680032 30470103 30940149 32390181 33920165 34550146 0.30 37549739 37969698 38469677 39009643 39499634 39839647 40119642 40519607 40679554 40759483 40679393 40139352 39609351 39389362 38949376 38809384 38469412 38249434 37999462 37649511 37179582 36949612 36869649 36919715 37129746 37549739 SIGN 37859532 37859579 37979615 38249636 38469661 38689702 38889762 39349783 39669771 39979716 40299590 40259508 40139427 39589417 38229456 37989486 37859532 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42857937 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 41768260 42278232 0.05 29010276 29850241 31770192 33010181 35080209 35830287 36350324 36980328 37430295 37500241 37530023 38199880 39259790 40749680 41349566 41739389 41829218 41569052 41358978 40998907 40618862 40138819 39618811 39128816 38458825 37848877 37258923 37008980 36729133 36529312 36399387 35899454 34889563 30469924 28520102 0.15 40439606 40839492 40979367 41039271 40909141 40299093 39719081 38789104 38369161 37449265 36609502 35739650 33849831 31119946 30400106 31000150 32280170 34220144 35240090 36159987 37099879 38129781 40439606 0.30 34520036 35289971 35719923 35789852 35329819 34539842 33169937 32859980 32940052 33100082 33400088 33980070 34520036 0.30 39799534 40389444 40459364 40319345 40129283 39779241 38909245 38579308 38229405 37539547 38249661 39049630 39799534 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 40299353 40129283 39779241 38909245 38579308 38229405 37849484 37649511 37179582 36949612 36869649 36919715 37129746 37549739 37969698 38469677 39009643 39499634 39839647 40119642 40519607 40679554 40759483 40679393 40299353 ENH 35329819 34539842 33169937 32859980 32940052 33100082 33400088 33980070 34520036 35289971 35719923 35789852 35329819 SLGT 40299093 39719081 38789104 38369161 37419263 36849389 36569510 35739650 33849831 31119946 30680032 30400106 30780133 30940149 32390181 33920165 34550146 35290149 35830242 36580361 36970354 36970285 36680154 36410049 36409974 36509947 37099879 37849808 38399807 39039845 39619833 39979774 40389729 40869635 41149563 41339435 41159296 41009250 40909141 40299093 MRGL 42857952 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 42018236 MRGL 29280261 30040298 30830296 32540239 34150227 35020215 35920312 36180443 36870505 37530504 37870492 38020439 37690299 37800212 39320126 40240038 41369908 42019798 42459695 42859352 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 40938900 40618862 40138819 39618811 39128816 38458825 37848877 37258923 37228931 37138938 36919003 36899039 36719133 36599256 36519295 36439362 36399387 35899454 34889563 30469924 29480016 28520062 TSTM 45397453 45486943 45206664 99999999 28649014 30369067 32078993 33508906 34789022 35829148 35839305 34229513 31689734 29759778 28369831 26969964 99999999 28660335 31300311 33430250 35030226 35840313 36490613 36360890 36531173 36851414 36091768 36361883 39032107 40502179 40282305 42532348 44042184 45471999 46871644 47011534 45501254 44951021 43940941 42520944 40790870 40170639 39980423 40760308 42480244 43210122 43559943 44039465 44279262 44609035 43928798 43788657 43858473 44078166 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE LWD 15 W IRK 25 SSE IRK 15 WNW COU 25 ESE SZL 45 SW SZL 35 ENE CNU 20 E CNU 30 NNE BVO 15 NNW BVO 25 WNW BVO 15 N PNC 35 NW PNC 10 SSE ICT 35 NE ICT 35 WNW EMP 15 SE MHK 30 NE MHK 35 SSE BIE 20 SE BIE 40 WSW SDA 10 SW SDA 30 E SDA LWD 30 SE LWD. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW CHK 10 S FSI 55 NNE ABI 30 NNW ABI 60 NW ABI 70 SE LBB 55 ESE LBB 40 SW CDS 10 NW CDS 30 W CSM 25 N CSM 50 NE CSM 20 NW CHK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE UIN 25 SE UIN 35 W STL 20 NNE VIH 35 SW TBN UMN 20 W GMJ 20 E CQB 15 SE SPS 45 NNE JCT 35 WNW JCT 70 N DRT 65 SW SJT 65 WSW SJT 20 WNW BGS 20 SSE PVW 30 NNE PVW 15 ENE AMA 15 SSE DHT 25 WNW CAO 40 NNW CAO 25 SSW SPD GUY 40 WNW GAG 10 NNE GAG 20 NE GAG 20 SW P28 20 SW HUT 25 NNW HUT 25 ENE RSL 35 W CNK 30 N CNK 30 WNW BIE 20 E LNK 20 SE OMA 40 WSW DSM 15 SE OXV 10 SSW OTM 15 WNW BRL 30 NNE UIN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W BUF 15 NE BFD 10 ESE DUJ EKN 45 WSW BLF 50 WNW TRI 15 SSW LOZ 40 NW LOZ 35 SE LUK 25 NW MFD 45 SSE MTC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW 6R6 45 W 6R6 FST 40 NNW MAF 30 W PVW 30 WSW AMA 30 WSW DHT 35 S RTN 30 WNW RTN 45 WNW TAD 35 SW PUB 20 SSE PUB 30 SSW LAA 35 ESE LAA 25 E GLD 10 ENE MCK 30 E BBW 30 W OFK 30 W SUX 25 SSW MCW 10 WNW MSN 25 ESE MSN 15 E JVL 15 WSW MMO 30 N BMI 20 ENE BMI 10 NE CMI 15 NE MTO 25 SSE MTO 35 ENE MVN 25 E MDH 20 E CGI 15 E CGI 10 ESE CGI 25 ENE POF 10 NNE POF 30 E UNO 25 N FLP 20 NNE HRO 30 WNW HRO 30 NNE FYV 20 WSW FYV 10 E MLC 30 E JCT 45 E DRT 60 SSE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE MSS 55 NNW BGR 25 NE EPM ...CONT... 65 SW BVE 30 ESE BTR 20 SSE JAN 35 WSW CBM 20 SW MEM 10 NE BVX 30 S HRO 45 WNW DEQ 10 WNW ACT 15 E BAZ 40 W NIR 40 SSW LRD ...CONT... 115 SW 6R6 30 NNW FST 40 WSW LBB 35 WSW AMA 35 WSW DHT 55 NE 4SL 45 SW FMN 30 SSW PGA 35 WSW SGU 30 N NID 55 ESE FAT 40 NNE SAC 35 NE RBL 45 WNW RBL 35 WNW MFR 35 WSW RDM 60 E DLS 35 ENE PUW 40 S 3TH 15 N DLN 50 ENE WEY 45 SSW COD 35 E BPI 50 ENE VEL 45 NE EGE 35 ENE DEN 25 SSW SNY 35 NNE AIA 40 NW VTN 15 SSW 9V9 30 NNW FRM 25 NNW RST 35 WSW CWA 20 SW MTW 35 SSW MBL 35 S HTL 70 ENE BAX.