DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1129 AM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018 VALID TIME 191630Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37859786 39029825 39599797 40389705 41099556 41199392 40999252 40599108 40089054 39409024 38709035 38089131 37909252 37689391 36389532 34419854 32999957 30780021 30510099 30990161 32730163 33770152 35210094 35460059 36019972 36389906 37149818 37859786 0.05 38039436 36659563 36039680 36009763 36449829 37109787 37699746 38519722 38799737 39099745 39569740 39939699 40489580 40629501 40579410 40399299 40109253 39609230 38989249 38039436 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29430264 30050298 30830296 32540239 34110225 35020216 35910313 36200432 36870505 37530504 37870492 38020439 37690299 37800212 39320126 40240038 41369908 42019798 42459695 42279515 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 39698912 39398899 38728870 37758867 36798898 36008947 36009064 36349164 36519281 36399395 36289469 35799569 34969615 33459729 32729784 31869825 28480065 0.15 34550146 35290149 35830242 36580361 36970354 37030273 36930156 36720049 36899898 37379842 37839808 38399807 39039845 39619833 39979774 40389729 40869635 41149563 41339435 41119294 40599181 40279156 39659145 39139153 38249157 37209057 36519036 36279095 36659212 37039308 36829388 36219645 34589715 32179873 31049966 30470103 30940149 32390181 33920165 34550146 0.30 37069577 36899618 36589667 36179711 35869753 35729801 36009849 36659815 37449749 37969698 38469677 38829653 39449625 39929591 40309491 40379412 40109350 39609351 39389362 38949376 38809384 38469412 38249434 37999462 37519505 37069577 SIGN 37829488 37009622 36209708 35829791 36009836 36699805 38069715 38449667 39139667 39929663 40209598 40309522 40139427 39589417 38229456 37829488 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42857937 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 41768260 42278232 0.05 29010276 29850241 31770192 33010181 35080209 35830287 36310394 36790397 37270376 37500241 37530023 38199880 39259790 40749680 41349566 41739389 41829218 41569052 41358978 40998907 40618862 40138819 39618811 39128816 38318823 37658854 36698895 36078947 35969019 36319136 36449288 36399387 35899454 34889563 30469924 28520102 0.15 40439606 40839492 40979367 41039271 40909141 40299093 39719081 38829095 37799119 37109036 36489053 36449136 36939270 36899391 36609502 35739650 33559763 31119946 30400106 31000150 32170163 34310146 35270142 35930249 36410328 37000321 37000201 36750032 36729922 37069877 38109784 40439606 0.30 39799534 40389444 40459364 40319345 40129283 39779241 38909245 38579308 38179398 37349532 36139729 34589836 33289918 32939966 32830046 33140090 33410087 34380039 35489946 37379767 38449667 39049630 39799534 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39419639 39869639 40239612 40309529 40449395 40309336 40129283 39779241 38909245 38579308 38139408 37629481 36799601 36179708 35179794 33629901 32839977 32830046 33100080 33380084 33960070 35319980 36699829 37589749 37969698 38469677 39009643 39419639 SLGT 40299093 39719081 38799102 37759112 37139040 36349050 36489129 36939260 36799381 36569510 35729646 33769739 32629822 31009956 30680032 30400106 30780133 30940149 32390181 33920165 34550146 35290149 35830242 36580361 36970354 36970285 37000208 36860104 36720028 36729942 37099879 37849808 38399807 39039845 39619833 39979774 40389729 40869635 41149563 41339435 41159296 41009250 40909141 40299093 MRGL 29280261 30040298 30830296 33310208 34150227 35020215 35920312 36180443 36870505 37530504 37870492 38020439 37690299 37800212 39320126 40240038 41369908 42019798 42459695 42239488 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 40938900 40618862 40138819 39618811 39128816 38318816 37318857 36488898 36078950 36009012 36279115 36449229 36489295 36439362 36399387 35899454 34889563 30469924 29480016 28520062 MRGL 42857952 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 42018236 TSTM 28660335 31100313 33380229 35180283 35880489 36660673 36360890 36531173 36851414 36091768 36361883 39032107 40502179 40282305 42532348 44042184 45471999 46871644 47011534 45501254 44951021 43940941 42520944 41080873 40260622 38420439 38780277 39920189 42160048 42919860 42559542 42939376 44129130 44298977 43868841 41938831 41128770 41218641 43248440 44618188 99999999 45737258 43907125 42606961 99999999 28489083 30409192 31579168 32159003 33508906 34789056 35589151 35669319 34229513 31689734 29759778 28369831 26969964 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE MHK 35 SSE BIE 30 WNW FNB 25 NE FNB 10 S LWD 35 NNE CDJ 15 W IRK 25 SSE IRK 15 WNW COU 25 ESE SZL 50 SW SZL 35 NNW JLN BVO 35 NNW CQB CHK 40 SW SPS 30 N ABI 55 WNW ABI 70 ESE LBB 60 ESE LBB 40 SW CDS 35 W CSM 20 ESE AVK ICT 35 NE ICT 35 WNW EMP 15 SE MHK 25 NE MHK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE UIN 25 SE UIN 35 W STL 40 W FAM 25 N POF 30 ENE ARG 30 NW ARG 40 WNW UNO 10 SE UMN 20 W GMJ 20 E CQB 40 W GYI 15 SW MWL 35 NNE JCT 35 WNW JCT 70 N DRT 65 SW SJT 65 WSW SJT 20 WNW BGS 20 SSE PVW 30 NNE PVW 15 ENE AMA 15 SSE DHT 25 WNW CAO 40 NNW CAO 25 SSW SPD 10 W EHA 15 SSW LBL 40 NW GAG 35 NNE GAG 20 SW P28 20 SW HUT 25 NNW HUT 25 ENE RSL 35 W CNK 30 N CNK 30 WNW BIE 20 E LNK 20 SE OMA 40 WSW DSM 15 SE OXV 10 SSW OTM 15 WNW BRL 30 NNE UIN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW 6R6 45 W 6R6 FST 30 SSW LBB 30 W PVW 30 WSW AMA 30 WSW DHT 35 S RTN 30 WNW RTN 45 WNW TAD 35 SW PUB 20 SSE PUB 30 SSW LAA 35 ESE LAA 25 E GLD 10 ENE MCK 30 E BBW 30 W OFK 30 W SUX 30 SE SLB 10 WNW MSN 25 ESE MSN 15 E JVL 15 WSW MMO 30 N BMI 20 ENE BMI 10 NE CMI 15 NE MTO 25 SSE MTO 40 E MVN 20 NE PAH 40 NE DYR DYR 30 ENE JBR 15 NW ARG 20 NNE FLP 20 NE HRO 30 WNW HRO 30 NNE FYV 20 WSW FYV 10 E MLC 30 E JCT 45 E DRT 60 SSE DRT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W BUF 15 NE BFD 10 ESE DUJ EKN 45 WSW BLF 50 WNW TRI 15 SSW LOZ 40 NW LOZ 35 SE LUK 25 NW MFD 45 SSE MTC. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 SW 6R6 20 NW FST 35 SW LBB 45 E TCC 20 NE LVS 45 NNE 4SL 45 SW FMN 30 SSW PGA 35 WSW SGU 30 N NID 55 ESE FAT 40 NNE SAC 35 NE RBL 45 WNW RBL 35 WNW MFR 35 WSW RDM 60 E DLS 35 ENE PUW 40 S 3TH 15 N DLN 50 ENE WEY 45 SSW COD 35 E BPI 40 SSE RKS 55 NE EGE 10 NNE PUB 40 SW ITR 40 NNW GLD 30 ENE MHN 30 N ONL 10 WSW SLB 25 SW MCW 15 N LSE 35 S CWA 10 SE OSH 45 NNE MMO 45 WSW VPZ 35 S SBN 25 SW MBS 75 E OSC ...CONT... 60 NNW EFK 25 NNE LCI 70 ESE PSM ...CONT... 75 S HUM 15 NNE LFT 20 W HEZ 10 SSE JAN 35 WSW CBM 35 WSW MEM 15 SE BVX 30 NNW RUE 45 WNW DEQ 10 WNW ACT 15 E BAZ 40 W NIR 40 SSW LRD.