DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0257 PM CDT SAT MAY 19 2018 VALID TIME 192000Z - 201200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37859786 39029825 39599797 40389705 41099556 41199392 40999252 40599108 40089054 39409024 38709035 38089131 37909252 37689391 36389532 34419854 32999957 30780021 30510099 30990161 32730163 33770152 35210094 35460059 36019972 36389906 37149818 37859786 0.05 38039436 36659563 36039680 36009763 36449829 37109787 37699746 38519722 38799737 39099745 39569740 39939699 40489580 40629501 40579410 40399299 40109253 39609230 38989249 38039436 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29430264 30050298 30830296 32590234 33290206 34270223 35560318 35980388 36200432 36870505 37530504 37870492 38020439 37680294 37600151 37820019 38409958 39029953 40009908 40929825 41799683 42239486 43148959 43058888 42648876 41268900 40898900 40758879 40098816 38668803 36128814 35008825 34438868 34418916 34749012 35179050 36019129 36439230 36469366 35919456 34829575 31749820 30539921 29580014 28360061 0.15 34520151 35250187 35830242 36580361 36970354 37030273 36930156 36720049 36899898 37379842 37839808 38399807 39039845 39619833 39979774 40389729 40869635 41149563 41339435 41119294 40599181 40279156 39659145 39139153 38739129 38069097 37459039 37238968 36868898 36508856 35808859 35498882 35288947 35479010 36299097 36579202 36679283 36719431 36539515 35809641 33899733 32179857 31019956 30410104 30940149 32390181 33920165 34520151 0.30 38799377 37599489 37279535 36179716 35869753 35729801 35989848 36509845 37579749 38009697 38769654 39159636 39919636 40239610 40309491 40379412 40109350 39609351 39389362 38949376 38799377 SIGN 39719417 38119447 37619482 36239706 35889752 35769799 35999848 36519845 37979693 39089638 39879635 40219605 40289502 40319450 40209426 39719417 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42857937 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 41768260 42278232 0.05 29010276 29850241 31790201 33270196 34130225 34660248 35750337 36230452 36790483 37240385 37500241 37530023 38179877 38559859 39129866 39799853 40629730 41349576 41739389 41829218 41569052 41358978 40998907 40618862 40138819 39608813 38228802 36748805 34988822 34468865 34388909 34668995 34899021 35889124 36459229 36429259 36449288 36399387 35899454 34889563 30469924 29680003 28420068 0.15 37879804 38449807 39099845 39669834 39909776 40369731 41159564 41379423 40979181 40299091 39719081 38739102 38169097 37459039 37248974 37028928 36568857 35808867 35478887 35288938 35388999 35889047 36319102 36479145 36649248 36779385 36599505 35659651 33689746 32779810 31119946 30400106 31040153 32340180 33730166 34890159 35390193 35830240 36260310 36560356 36940351 37000321 37000201 36750032 36729922 37069877 37879804 0.30 40429437 40429401 40319341 40129283 39779241 38909245 38709278 37269464 36259649 35259778 34389839 33739887 33129945 32919981 32850043 32940085 33230106 33570112 33840100 35169985 35679942 36329870 37349766 37979698 38879641 39689608 40139560 40269494 40429437 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39419639 39869639 40239612 40309529 40449395 40309336 40129283 39779241 38909245 38519311 37299462 36119670 35789720 35269777 33809881 33159937 32869987 32830045 32960090 33280113 33580112 33880099 34050080 34760019 35769928 36699829 37589749 37969698 38469677 39009643 39419639 SLGT 40299093 39719081 38799102 38139097 37489037 37248976 36918905 36558859 36208856 35778862 35478884 35288939 35419006 35809040 36329107 36559194 36749384 36569510 35729646 33769739 32629822 31009956 30680032 30400106 30780133 30940149 32390181 33920165 34550146 35240191 35830242 36580361 36970354 36970285 37000208 36860104 36720028 36729942 37099879 37849808 38399807 39039845 39619833 39979774 40389729 40869635 41149563 41359431 41199301 40979181 40679131 40299093 MRGL 42857952 41987846 41097870 38927994 36958187 36808322 36918416 37428465 38728405 41068284 42018236 MRGL 29280261 30040298 30830296 33310208 34150227 34830272 35710325 36180443 36870505 37530504 37870492 38020439 37690299 37640270 37590143 37830017 38379963 39159948 39959914 40899822 41779681 42219473 43198951 43058888 42648876 41308897 40938900 40618862 40138819 39578808 37388802 35018827 34638848 34448865 34388908 34518955 34769012 35989129 36429224 36459289 36439362 36399387 35899454 34889563 30469924 29480016 28520062 TSTM 44857724 43517466 43617245 43616826 99999999 28489083 30409192 31579168 32159003 33508906 34789056 35589151 35669319 34229513 31689734 29759778 28369831 26969964 99999999 28660335 31100313 33380229 34860333 35880489 36660673 36360890 36531173 36851414 36091768 36361883 39032107 40502179 40282305 42532348 44042184 45471999 46871644 47011534 45501254 44951021 44040949 42590921 41380793 40570638 39570533 38840451 38590333 38960178 39610024 40879909 42019803 42789666 43409458 43869134 43998972 43868877 43308812 42718809 41808789 41508747 41368672 41448626 43248440 44618188 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE MHK 35 SSE BIE 30 WNW FNB 25 NE FNB 10 S LWD 35 NNE CDJ 15 W IRK 25 SSE IRK 15 WNW COU 30 ESE SZL 10 NW JLN 30 NNE CQB 20 W CQB 15 SW OKC 20 WSW SPS 55 NNE ABI 35 NNW ABI 55 WNW ABI 60 NE BGS 50 SE LBB 40 E LBB 45 ESE PVW 40 SW CDS 25 NNE CDS 30 N CSM 20 ESE AVK ICT 35 NE ICT 35 WNW EMP 15 SE MHK 25 NE MHK. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE UIN 25 SE UIN 35 W STL 40 NW FAM 20 S FAM 10 W CGI 20 SW PAH 40 SSE PAH 45 NNE MKL 20 NE MKL 10 SSE MKL 35 SW MKL 25 N MEM 15 E JBR 15 NNW ARG 15 SSW UNO 10 SSE UMN 20 W GMJ 20 E CQB 40 W GYI 15 SW MWL 35 NNE JCT 35 WNW JCT 70 N DRT 65 SW SJT 65 WSW SJT 20 WNW BGS 20 SSE PVW 30 NNE PVW 10 W AMA 15 SSE DHT 25 WNW CAO 40 NNW CAO 25 SSW SPD 10 W EHA 15 SSW LBL 40 NW GAG 35 NNE GAG 20 SW P28 20 SW HUT 25 NNW HUT 25 ENE RSL 35 W CNK 30 N CNK 30 WNW BIE 20 E LNK 20 SE OMA 35 WSW DSM 10 SE OXV 35 ESE OTM 10 SW BRL 30 NNE UIN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W BUF 15 NE BFD 10 ESE DUJ EKN 45 WSW BLF 50 WNW TRI 15 SSW LOZ 40 NW LOZ 35 SE LUK 25 NW MFD 45 SSE MTC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW 6R6 45 W 6R6 FST 30 SSW LBB 30 W PVW 45 NE CVS 40 NNE TCC 35 S RTN 30 WNW RTN 45 WNW TAD 35 SW PUB 20 SSE PUB 30 SSW LAA 25 N SPD 45 WSW GCK 10 WNW DDC 45 NNE DDC 25 SE HLC 55 S EAR GRI 35 W TQE 35 SW FOD 10 WNW MSN 25 ESE MSN 15 E JVL 15 WSW MMO 30 N BMI 20 ENE BMI 10 NE CMI 10 ENE MTO 45 ENE PAH 40 WNW MSL 30 NNE TUP 15 NNE TUP 20 WNW TUP 10 N UOX 20 SSW MEM 25 WSW ARG 20 NE FLP 20 NE HRO 30 WNW HRO 30 NNE FYV 20 WSW FYV 10 E MLC 30 E JCT 45 E DRT 60 SSE DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NW ART 45 NE UCA LEB 60 S BHB ...CONT... 75 S HUM 15 NNE LFT 20 W HEZ 10 SSE JAN 35 WSW CBM 35 WSW MEM 15 SE BVX 30 NNW RUE 45 WNW DEQ 10 WNW ACT 15 E BAZ 40 W NIR 40 SSW LRD ...CONT... 115 SW 6R6 20 NW FST 35 SW LBB 25 SE TCC 20 NE LVS 45 NNE 4SL 45 SW FMN 30 SSW PGA 35 WSW SGU 30 N NID 55 ESE FAT 40 NNE SAC 35 NE RBL 45 WNW RBL 35 WNW MFR 35 WSW RDM 60 E DLS 35 ENE PUW 40 S 3TH 15 N DLN 50 ENE WEY 40 SW COD 30 WSW LND 50 SW RWL 60 E CAG 30 WSW DEN 10 E COS 40 NNE LHX 30 S GLD 25 NW HLC 10 NNW EAR 30 W OFK 30 NNW SUX 20 SSW FRM LSE 25 E VOK 15 SW OSH 25 NNW MKE 15 WSW RAC 50 NE MMO 25 W VPZ 15 ESE VPZ 20 S SBN 25 SW MBS 75 E OSC.