Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 290032
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0632 PM CST Sun Jan 28 2018
Valid 290100Z - 291200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are expected across Florida and adjacent
portions of the Southeast tonight.
...Southeast...
Little change is warranted to 20z outlook.
Southern-stream disturbance is progressing across the eastern Gulf
basin with a notable corridor of deep convection evident from the
western tip of Cuba to the central FL Peninsula. Greatest
concentration of lightning remains offshore though isolated storms
are embedded within the larger precip shield over central FL. With
minimal buoyancy observed across the region the prospect for
lightning will remain somewhat low but enough to warrant 10% thunder
probs across the moist warm sector. Late tonight weak surface low
should develop off the northern FL coast and lift northeast toward
the Carolinas but remaining offshore. Isolated thunderstorms may
approach coastal portions as warm advection increases into this
region.
..Darrow.. 01/29/2018
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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