Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030037
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0637 PM CST Fri Feb 02 2018
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous U. S. the
remainder of tonight. However, a lightning strike or two cannot be
ruled out across south Texas.
...South Central through South Texas...
Convection already underway within a weak warm advection regime
across south TX will persist through much of tonight. RAOB and
point-forecast sounding data indicate a marginally unstable layer
between 700 and 500 mb, and further moistening at the base of this
layer might result in sufficient instability for a few lightning
strikes. However, at this time it appears most of the developing
convection will not become deep enough for mixed/ice cloud processes
necessary for 10% thunderstorm coverage.
..Dial.. 02/03/2018
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
| 
)
