Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 240051
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0651 PM CST Fri Nov 23 2018
Valid 240100Z - 241200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible tonight across parts of the
lower to mid Mississippi Valley and from the southern Atlantic
Seaboard into the southern Appalachians. No severe threat is
expected.
An upper-level trough will move eastward across the mid Mississippi
Valley and central Gulf Coast States tonight. A few thunderstorms
will be possible this evening near the trough in the lower to mid
Mississippi Valley along a corridor of low-level moisture. Isolated
thunderstorms will also be possible ahead of the trough from the
southern Atlantic Seaboard north-northwestward into the southern
Appalachians as large-scale ascent moves from west to east across
the region. Due to weak instability, none of the thunderstorm
activity is expected to be severe tonight.
..Broyles.. 11/24/2018
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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