Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 041601
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 AM CST Tue Dec 04 2018
Valid 041630Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible over central and southern
Florida today, and along the immediate coast of central California
overnight.
No important changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will affect central and south FL
today along a weak surface boundary. Other very isolated
thunderstorms may affect coastal regions of central CA later today
and tonight as an upper low approaches. In both cases, weak
thermodynamics and shear should preclude a risk of severe storms.
..Hart/Bentley.. 12/04/2018
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z