SPC AC 141613

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1013 AM CST Fri Dec 14 2018

   Valid 141630Z - 151200Z

   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
   FLORIDA PENINSULA...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible across the
   western/north-central Florida Peninsula through the afternoon and
   evening, and possibly across southeastern Georgia and the coastal
   Carolinas tonight. Locally damaging winds should be the main threat.

   ...FL...
   No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.  Morning radar
   loop shows widespread showers and thunderstorms affecting the west
   coast of the FL Peninsula, with activity spreading eastward across
   the SLGT risk region.  This will significantly limit
   heating/destabilization.  Nevertheless, forecast soundings show weak
   but sufficient CAPE values and strong deep-layer shear today into
   tonight.  This may result in a few organized cells within the
   broader precipitation shield.  Rotating/bowing segments capable of
   damaging winds, or perhaps a tornado spinup are the main concerns
   today.  The threat should end from west to east across the FL
   Peninsula this afternoon and evening.

   ..Carolina Coast...
   Strong surface pressure-falls are forecast over the eastern
   Carolinas later today.  This will result in strengthening southerly
   low level winds and rapid destabilization along the immediate coast.
   Model solutions suggest multiple clusters of thunderstorms offshore
   this evening and tonight.  If a few of these stronger storms can
   spread inland, a marginal risk of damaging winds would be present.

   ..Hart/Broyles.. 12/14/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z