SPC AC 230621

   Day 2 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1221 AM CST Fri Nov 23 2018

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the Mid-Atlantic states
   on Saturday. Severe weather is unlikely.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   A progressive pattern will exist on Saturday with multiple embedded
   waves within a broader area of cyclonic flow aloft stretching from
   the Plains to the East Coast. The strongest of these waves will dive
   southeast across the central Rockies and into the central Plains,
   causing low pressure to deepen over KS and OK during the evening and
   overnight. However, any instability will be too minor to support any
   thunderstorm threat.

   The greatest threat of a few thunderstorms will be across the
   eastern Carolinas in association with a fast moving, negatively
   tilted shortwave trough. Here, strong warm advection in the
   low-levels with a 50+ kt low-level jet as well as cooling aloft will
   support strong lift, with minimal elevated instability resulting in
   a few thunderstorms during the day. Forecast soundings depict rather
   stable low-levels, and while better instability may approach the
   outer banks, severe weather is unlikely.

   ...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
   Tornado:  <2%     - None
   Wind:     <5%     - None
   Hail:     <5%     - None

   ..Jewell.. 11/23/2018

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z