Feb 27, 2018 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Tue Feb 27 07:57:21 UTC 2018 (20180227 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20180227 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20180227 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20180227 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 270757

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0157 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2018

   Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Thunderstorms will be possible from the Carolinas southwestward to
   the Florida Panhandle on Thursday. Additional thunderstorms may
   develop across the Ohio Valley and along the West Coast.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   An upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the Ohio
   and Tennessee Valleys on Thursday. At the surface, a cold front is
   forecast to advance quickly southeastward across the Carolinas,
   Georgia and Florida Panhandle on Thursday. Thunderstorm development
   will be possible along the front by afternoon with convection moving
   offshore during the evening. Instability is forecast to be weak
   along and ahead of the front making the chance for severe storms
   negligible.

   ..Broyles.. 02/27/2018

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z