Nov 26, 2018 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 26 05:24:13 UTC 2018 (20181126 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20181126 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20181126 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Graphic
20181126 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 260524

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1124 PM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across parts of central
   California Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

   ...Synopsis and Discussion...
   As an upper low will exit the Northeast, high pressure will remain
   over the Southeast, providing dry conditions. Meanwhile, the flow
   regime aloft will become zonal from the Mid Atlantic westward across
   the Central Plains, with a low-amplitude shortwave trough nosing
   into CA Wednesday night. Here, cooling aloft will lead to weak
   instability. Widespread precipitation will occur, and a few of the
   heavier convective elements may contain lightning, from the Bay area
   eastward toward the Sierra. Instability will be quite weak, thus no
   severe thunderstorms are expected.

   ..Jewell.. 11/26/2018

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z