DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0754 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2019 VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30440117 30180201 30400299 31300330 32260276 33830147 34609987 34579830 34029797 32599805 30440117 0.02 40859790 39889888 38019917 37259987 37740119 39070160 40230194 40500267 40950529 41540564 42330469 42730259 43699996 44099727 43549581 42709546 41609672 40859790 0.05 41360287 42090278 42570220 43259929 43579732 43369664 42529654 41729713 40469923 39980054 40460190 41360287 0.05 33260011 32699981 31789984 30980083 30540152 30600237 31130281 31680283 32860163 33260011 0.10 41980123 42630022 43109914 43029788 42599751 41979766 40849926 40380046 40520123 41130143 41980123 SIGN 41930110 42849968 42989895 42979836 42819808 42339788 41209927 40530044 40680107 41180127 41930110 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28810310 31460356 33730221 35820163 38870195 39750235 40260283 40010484 40050542 40360600 41450629 42610614 43990387 44980141 45759866 45389409 44579170 42208721 41548471 40367911 39447500 38187497 36587715 36497987 37078160 38128290 40548687 41309080 40909458 39229774 36439898 34509733 32859736 31549817 30589936 29850049 28620103 0.15 30430118 30170203 30420301 31280331 32270276 33810148 34589986 34219860 33129858 31879946 30430118 0.15 44009534 43019436 42319456 41329662 40189810 38039914 37239985 37730117 39080161 40240192 40510266 40790437 40950531 41530562 42390510 43230223 44779935 44789646 44009534 0.30 30550156 30620237 31140282 31670284 32860167 33270012 32669982 31799984 30950087 30550156 0.30 42250349 42740182 43239886 43299766 42559691 41879734 40989864 40619928 40220044 40450139 41570344 42250349 SIGN 43679623 42199593 41319730 40019864 37479991 37850091 40350184 40890372 41160506 41300538 41880515 43370013 44099766 43679623 SIGN 33869916 33099885 31819963 30600112 30280196 30500282 31300311 31760293 33550126 34030003 33869916 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28820310 31460356 33730221 35820163 38870195 39750235 40260283 40010484 40050542 40360600 41450629 42610614 43990387 44980141 45759866 45389409 44579170 42158717 41308394 40367911 39447500 38187497 36607714 36497987 37078160 38118287 40548687 41309080 40909458 39229774 36439898 34509733 32859736 31549817 30589936 29850049 28620103 0.15 30430118 30170203 30420301 31280331 32270276 33810148 34619986 34599828 33959794 32609803 30430118 0.15 44019537 43039436 42349455 41339662 40149812 38039914 37239985 37730117 39080161 40240192 40510266 40790437 40950531 41530562 42330469 42720262 43809965 44439716 44019537 0.15 39427700 38787584 37717633 37097815 36998002 37548142 38348267 39448397 39958417 40508208 40337986 39427700 0.30 30540156 30610237 31400242 32360158 33190042 33359974 32489929 31799980 30950087 30540156 0.30 42030209 42780048 43239886 43299766 42559691 41919734 41149844 40619927 40210042 40450139 41100183 42030209 SIGN 43369650 42499646 41699710 40449917 39880058 40350184 40890372 41160506 41300538 41870481 43339985 43629736 43369650 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 30630239 31110281 31660285 32860164 33369977 32519931 31789983 30950087 30550155 30630239 ENH 42200363 42840143 43239884 43299766 42569692 41879732 41039856 40619928 40220043 40450139 41530338 42200363 SLGT 30440116 30180201 30430301 31290330 32310273 33790148 34609987 34589829 33969794 32619801 30440116 SLGT 43979534 43029436 42319456 41329662 40169810 38019914 37249984 37730116 39080162 40220190 40500268 40940531 41540563 42390510 43220224 44769936 44789644 43979534 SLGT 39407701 38767585 37707637 37107812 37007999 37538137 38298263 39398396 39958417 40498205 40337989 39407701 MRGL 28810308 31460355 33750218 35770163 38920196 39750233 40250286 40010472 40040543 40360600 41470629 42590616 43990387 45000133 45759868 45389411 44579175 42168722 41238357 40357908 39457500 38177498 36577715 36507990 37068161 38168291 40538684 41299078 40909452 39179776 36419897 34519733 32859736 31529818 30589937 29840048 28630102 TSTM 33417765 34217847 34918016 34658176 33928229 33428224 32608200 31948181 31368199 30978235 30668327 30618488 30938676 31598784 32498782 34458740 36288566 37088496 38288486 39138565 39798666 40298830 40429211 39989402 38089575 36149658 32449685 30869727 29319841 28379952 27760031 99999999 25888253 26877930 TSTM 28750465 31890390 33920239 35290183 38710230 39550291 39460438 38720531 38090609 36820685 36120801 35500898 35440974 35921053 36301113 36691268 36901362 37281431 38271475 39491492 40741501 41511448 42621361 43421326 44051298 44921344 46061337 47301154 47720831 47910135 47479505 46199106 43728581 42428160 41837770 41627652 41917564 42537430 42467310 41747305 41047310 39987310 99999999 33417765 34217847 34918016 34658176 33928229 33428224 32608200 31948181 31368199 30978235 30668327 30618488 30938676 31598784 32498782 34458740 36288566 37088496 38288486 39138565 39798666 40298830 40429211 39989402 38089575 36149658 32449685 30869727 29319841 28379952 27760031 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE FST 15 NNE FST 20 ESE INK 45 N BGS 65 N ABI 20 ENE ABI 45 S ABI 35 SW SJT 55 NE 6R6 40 ESE FST. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BFF 45 W VTN 45 SSE 9V9 30 NNW YKN 30 WNW SUX 10 SE OFK 15 WNW GRI 15 WSW EAR 10 E MCK 15 ESE IML 25 SSE BFF 20 N BFF. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 ENE 6R6 15 NE 6R6 35 S FST 35 NW FST 40 SE HOB 20 ENE LBB 25 ENE CDS 10 SE FSI 30 E SPS 10 SSE MWL 70 ENE 6R6. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE OTG 35 NNW FOD 25 SW FOD 35 NNE LNK 35 SSE HSI 50 ENE DDC 35 S DDC 30 WSW GCK 20 SSE GLD 25 SW IML 35 NE AKO 30 WSW CYS 15 N LAR 30 SSE DGW 50 ENE CDR 50 ENE PIR 35 ESE ATY 25 NNE OTG. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW BWI 35 SW DOV 40 S NHK 30 N AVC 20 S ROA 20 NNW BLF HTS 30 NE LUK DAY 35 SE MFD 20 ESE PIT 25 NW BWI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW 6R6 30 SW INK 20 WNW LBB 15 WNW BGD 30 SE ITR 35 N ITR 20 ENE AKO 20 NNE DEN 35 WNW DEN 50 W FCL 35 WNW LAR 25 SE CPR 40 W RAP 55 SW MBG 25 NNW ABR 10 SSW STC 25 SSW EAU 40 W BEH 15 NNE FDY 20 ENE LBE 20 W ACY 30 ESE SBY 30 ENE RZZ 30 N GSO 30 SW BLF 25 SW HTS 10 NNE LAF 20 SW MLI 35 WNW LWD 25 SSW CNK 30 SW AVK 25 NW ADM FTW 50 S SEP 25 E JCT 40 NE DRT 50 S DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE ILM 35 W ILM 50 WSW SOP 20 SSE SPA 45 NNW AGS 15 WNW AGS 35 NE VDI 35 ESE VDI 25 ENE AYS 20 S AYS 10 S VLD 25 SE MAI 15 NW CEW 50 WNW GZH 50 WNW SEM 25 SSE MSL 40 NW CSV 50 W LOZ 25 NW LEX 50 E BMG 20 WNW IND 20 N CMI 30 NE IRK 25 WNW CDJ 30 SE EMP 30 NNE CQB 30 S DAL 20 SSE TPL 15 SSE SAT 20 WSW COT 55 WNW LRD ...CONT... 50 WSW APF 50 ENE PBI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 SSW MRF 35 SE CNM 35 WNW LBB 10 NW AMA 35 S ITR 40 WNW ITR 35 SE DEN 30 WSW COS 45 NNW ALS 55 ESE DRO 45 SSE FMN 10 W GUP 55 W GUP 65 N INW 45 SSE PGA 60 ESE SGU 10 S SGU 25 SSE P38 45 NNW P38 15 NNW ELY 40 E EKO 60 NNW ENV 10 ENE BYI 50 NW PIH 50 SW MQM 25 ESE SMN 40 W BTM 15 SSW GTF 70 NE LWT 20 NNE N60 BJI 25 SSW ASX 45 NNE MKG 65 E MTC 50 WSW ELM 35 NE IPT 25 SE BGM 30 WSW ALB 10 ENE PSF 25 WSW BDL 10 S BDR 55 S ISP ...CONT... 60 SSE ILM 35 W ILM 50 WSW SOP 20 SSE SPA 45 NNW AGS 15 WNW AGS 35 NE VDI 35 ESE VDI 25 ENE AYS 20 S AYS 10 S VLD 25 SE MAI 15 NW CEW 50 WNW GZH 50 WNW SEM 25 SSE MSL 40 NW CSV 50 W LOZ 25 NW LEX 50 E BMG 20 WNW IND 20 N CMI 30 NE IRK 25 WNW CDJ 30 SE EMP 30 NNE CQB 30 S DAL 20 SSE TPL 15 SSE SAT 20 WSW COT 55 WNW LRD.