DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1108 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2019 VALID TIME 171630Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30440117 30180201 30420299 30870317 31720290 33030156 34280055 34609987 34579830 34029797 32599805 30440117 0.02 40859790 39889888 38109912 35969988 35930086 37090096 37740119 39070160 40230194 40500267 40950529 41540564 42330469 42730259 44129880 44099727 43549581 42709546 41609672 40859790 0.05 41360287 42090278 42570220 43749899 43859734 43369664 42529654 41729713 40469923 39980054 40460190 41360287 0.05 33260011 32699981 31789984 30980083 30540152 30600237 31090278 32810097 33260011 0.10 41980123 42630022 43109914 43029788 42599751 41979766 40849926 40380046 40520123 41130143 41980123 SIGN 41930110 42849968 42989895 42979836 42819808 42339788 41209927 40530044 40680107 41180127 41930110 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28820310 30570332 33050257 36090134 38930194 39750235 40260283 40010484 40050542 40360600 41450629 42610614 43990387 44980141 45759866 45389409 44579170 42208721 41548471 40367911 39447500 38187497 36587715 36497987 37078160 38128291 39928702 40968884 41309080 40909458 39229774 36439898 34509733 32859736 31549817 30589936 29850049 28620103 0.15 30530015 30150204 30470302 30910316 31600292 33310131 34270053 34589986 34569831 34009795 32569806 31459869 30530015 0.15 44009534 43019436 42319456 41329662 40189810 38039914 37239985 37730117 39080161 40240192 40510266 40790437 40950531 41530562 42390510 43230223 44779935 44789646 44009534 0.30 30550156 30570231 31120285 32640119 33110036 33309984 32519931 31799979 30950087 30550156 0.30 42250349 42790178 43849862 43879736 42569704 41879734 40989864 40619928 40220044 40450139 41570344 42250349 SIGN 30510281 31030300 31730264 32800146 33680018 33879915 33099885 31819963 30600112 30280196 30510281 SIGN 43679623 42199593 41319730 40019864 37479991 37850091 40350184 40890372 41160506 41300538 41880515 43370013 44099766 43679623 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28820307 30530339 32550272 36210128 38830195 39750235 40260283 40010484 40050542 40360600 41450629 42610614 43990387 44980141 45759866 45389409 44579170 42158717 41308394 40367911 39447500 38187497 36607714 36497987 37078160 38078286 40028709 41008900 41309080 40909458 39229774 36439898 34509733 32859736 31549817 30589936 29850049 28620103 0.15 31639848 30480019 30110198 30370299 30910319 31660295 33170139 34340045 34619986 34599828 33959794 32609803 31639848 0.15 44019537 43039436 42349455 41339662 40149812 38039914 37239985 37730117 39080161 40240192 40510266 40790437 40950531 41530562 42330469 42720262 43809965 44439716 44019537 0.15 40397992 39197708 38167615 37717633 37097815 36998002 37548142 38348267 39448397 39958417 40508208 40397992 0.30 30540156 30610237 31080278 32360158 33190042 33359974 32489929 31799980 30950087 30540156 0.30 42030209 42780048 43239886 43299766 42559691 41919734 41149844 40619927 40210042 40450139 41100183 42030209 SIGN 43369650 42499646 41699710 40449917 39880058 40350184 40890372 41160506 41300538 41870481 43339985 43629736 43369650 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 30630239 31090278 32820091 33349976 32519931 31789983 30950087 30550155 30630239 ENH 42150357 43759901 43879741 42589694 41879732 41039856 40619928 40220043 40450139 41530338 42150357 SLGT 31599852 30530015 30180201 30490304 30930316 31610294 33220136 34250050 34609987 34589829 33969794 32619801 31599852 SLGT 43979534 43029436 42319456 41329662 40169810 38019914 37249984 37730116 39080162 40220190 40500268 40940531 41540563 42390510 43220224 44769936 44789644 43979534 SLGT 40357994 39177706 38137614 37707637 37107812 37007999 37538137 38298263 39398396 39958417 40498205 40357994 MRGL 28810308 30610338 31860301 35760141 36520137 39020199 39750233 40250286 40010472 40040543 40360600 41470629 42590616 43990387 45000133 45759868 45389411 44579175 42168722 41238357 40357908 39457500 38177498 36577715 36507990 37068161 38168291 39898696 40948877 41279075 40909452 39179776 36419897 34519733 32859736 31529818 30589937 29840048 28630102 TSTM 28610337 30020356 31830306 33940233 34930197 35800152 36260145 36730154 38780229 39300283 39500332 39520390 39370438 39060479 38390517 37090573 36410631 36030689 35320811 34910894 34970948 35320995 35911060 36301113 36661278 37291465 38261540 39881643 41091689 41701687 42191645 42251566 42551466 43031400 44181359 45251325 45991302 46471246 46451062 46560798 46660649 47090469 47270362 47310165 47350064 47320004 47199610 46689285 45768989 44438701 43678516 42698235 42428160 42357793 42387686 42587546 42747479 43727251 44217107 44267066 43987051 43407061 42877106 41907212 40757277 39947280 99999999 34877555 35537818 34918016 34348133 33768176 33378200 32608200 31958181 31258197 30608252 30238323 30218374 30508493 30988686 31938788 32558772 33658691 35008558 35928479 36748475 38018519 38878603 39758707 40188834 40429211 40169325 39689455 38889569 37489681 36379696 34599665 32449685 30869727 29319841 28379952 27760031 99999999 25888253 26877930 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE FST 15 NNE FST 55 NE BGS 65 N ABI 20 ENE ABI 45 S ABI 35 SW SJT 55 NE 6R6 40 ESE FST. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BFF 15 E 9V9 30 ENE MHE 30 WNW SUX 10 SE OFK 15 WNW GRI 15 WSW EAR 10 E MCK 15 ESE IML 25 SSE BFF 20 N BFF. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE BWD 25 W JCT 15 NE 6R6 30 SSW FST 15 W FST 20 SE INK 40 SE LBB 20 SW CDS 25 ENE CDS 10 SE FSI 30 E SPS 10 SSE MWL 30 ESE BWD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE OTG 35 NNW FOD 25 SW FOD 35 NNE LNK 35 SSE HSI 50 ENE DDC 35 S DDC 30 WSW GCK 20 SSE GLD 25 SW IML 35 NE AKO 30 WSW CYS 15 N LAR 30 SSE DGW 50 ENE CDR 50 ENE PIR 35 ESE ATY 25 NNE OTG. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE PIT 20 W BWI 20 SE NHK 40 S NHK 30 N AVC 20 S ROA 20 NNW BLF HTS 30 NE LUK DAY 35 SE MFD 20 ESE PIT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW 6R6 35 SW FST 15 ENE INK BGD 15 SE GUY 20 SE ITR 35 N ITR 20 ENE AKO 20 NNE DEN 35 WNW DEN 50 W FCL 35 WNW LAR 25 SE CPR 40 W RAP 55 SW MBG 25 NNW ABR 10 SSW STC 25 SSW EAU 40 W BEH 15 NNE FDY 20 ENE LBE 20 W ACY 30 ESE SBY 30 ENE RZZ 30 N GSO 30 SW BLF 25 SW HTS 35 NNE HUF 30 S MMO 20 SW MLI 35 WNW LWD 25 SSW CNK 30 SW AVK 25 NW ADM FTW 50 S SEP 25 E JCT 40 NE DRT 50 S DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 SW 6R6 35 SE MRF 10 ENE INK 35 WNW LBB 25 SW AMA 10 NW BGD 30 S GUY GUY 30 S ITR 30 W ITR 25 NE LIC 20 NW LIC 40 W LIC 15 NNW COS 35 WNW PUB 25 SSE ALS 45 NE 4SL 4SL 15 NW GNT 45 SSW GUP 55 SW GUP 50 ENE INW 60 N INW 45 SSE PGA 55 ESE SGU 25 SSW P38 65 NW P38 35 NW P68 35 N BAM 40 WSW OWY 20 NW OWY 35 NE OWY 10 WNW TWF 35 NNW BYI 60 NE SUN 30 ENE SMN 25 W BTM 25 WSW HLN 40 W 3HT 60 NNE BIL 35 WNW MLS GDV 40 SE SDY 25 SSW N60 40 N BIS 50 NE BIS 25 NNW DTL 35 WSW DLH 20 WNW RHI 40 WNW MBL 55 SSW HTL 25 ENE MTC 65 E MTC 50 NE BFD 15 N ELM 35 NE BGM 40 SE UCA 10 WNW LEB 10 ESE MWN 30 E MWN 25 NNW PWM 25 SW PWM 20 SW PSM 25 E BDL 15 E ISP 60 SSE ISP ...CONT... 25 S HSE 15 WNW GSB 50 WSW SOP 30 NNW CAE 30 NNE AGS AGS 35 NE VDI 35 ESE VDI 25 E AYS 45 S AYS 40 S VLD 40 ESE TLH 30 SSE MAI 25 NW CEW 60 ESE MEI 45 WNW SEM 10 WNW BHM 20 W CHA 15 E CSV 45 WSW LOZ 30 ESE SDF 35 ESE BMG 25 NNE HUF 10 NNW CMI 30 NE IRK 30 NE CDJ 20 ESE STJ 15 SSW TOP 35 ESE ICT 25 SSE PNC 30 NE ADM 30 S DAL 20 SSE TPL 15 SSE SAT 20 WSW COT 55 WNW LRD ...CONT... 50 WSW APF 50 ENE PBI.