DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0256 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2019 VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 30440117 30180201 30420299 30870317 31720290 33030156 34770070 35099979 34579830 34029797 32599805 30440117 0.02 40859790 39889888 38109912 35969988 35930086 37090096 37740119 39370173 40020199 40340287 39970490 40590509 41060486 41230309 41680240 44249903 44199709 43549581 42709546 41609672 40859790 0.05 33260011 32699981 31789984 30980083 30540152 30600237 31090278 32810097 33260011 0.05 40840233 41170249 41510233 43759901 43859734 43369664 42529654 41729713 40379919 38709993 38570080 39700096 40420177 40840233 0.10 41980123 42630022 43109914 43029788 42599751 41979766 40849926 40200039 40520123 41130143 41980123 SIGN 41920116 42590013 43079909 42999796 42589759 41999770 40929922 40280034 40680107 41180127 41920116 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28820310 30530334 33050257 35840138 36550139 38930194 39750235 40140306 39840470 40050542 40360600 41320659 42260609 43420380 44980141 45759866 45389409 44579170 42208721 41548471 40367911 39447500 38187497 36587715 36497987 37078160 38058334 39968701 40968884 41309080 40909458 39229774 36439898 34509733 32859736 31549817 30589936 29850049 28620103 0.15 30530015 30150204 30470302 30910316 31600292 33310131 34270053 34589986 34609830 34009795 32559805 31569853 30530015 0.15 44009534 43019436 42319456 41329662 40189810 38039914 37239985 37730117 39080161 40240192 40510266 40110474 40430520 41550541 41990512 42600332 44779935 44789646 44009534 0.30 30550156 30570231 31120285 32640119 33200037 33329975 32519931 31799979 30950087 30550156 0.30 41760316 42270210 43769897 43799769 42839689 41879734 40989864 40619928 40220044 40450139 41260308 41760316 SIGN 30510281 31030300 31730264 32800146 33680018 33879915 33099885 31819963 30600112 30280196 30510281 SIGN 43969702 42359583 40969772 40019864 37479991 37850091 40350184 40680280 40870364 41310388 41780366 42090298 43280046 44039867 43969702 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28820307 30530339 32550272 36180129 38830195 39740226 40110313 39870468 40050542 40330596 40850622 41340564 41280320 42580162 44399951 45419729 45389409 44579170 42158717 41308394 40367911 39447500 38187497 36607714 36497987 37078160 38298382 40028709 41008900 41309080 40909458 39229774 36439898 34509733 32859736 31549817 30589936 29850049 28620103 0.15 44019537 43039436 42349455 41339662 40149812 38039914 37239985 37730117 39080161 40240192 40490265 40900289 41270279 42300148 43629964 44439716 44019537 0.15 31639848 30480019 30110198 30370299 30910319 31660295 33170139 34340045 34619986 34599828 33959794 32609803 31639848 0.15 40397992 39197708 38167615 37717633 37097815 36998002 37548142 38348267 39448397 39958417 40508208 40397992 0.30 30540156 30610237 31080278 32360158 33190042 33359974 32489929 31799980 30950087 30540156 0.30 42440050 42969993 43239886 43299766 42559691 41919734 41149844 40829916 40739987 41120034 41780066 42440050 SIGN 43369650 42499646 41699710 40769891 40639977 40890017 41240063 41760079 42370073 43010007 43509777 43369650 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 30630239 31090278 32370155 33180043 33349976 32519931 31789983 30950087 30550155 30630239 ENH 41780313 42440175 43789893 43789770 42819688 41879732 41039856 40619928 40220043 40450139 41270311 41780313 SLGT 43979534 43029436 42319456 41329662 40169810 38019914 37249984 37730116 39080162 40220190 40500268 40080472 40400519 41590542 41950516 42680319 44769936 44789644 43979534 SLGT 31599852 30530015 30100195 30390296 30880320 31610294 33220136 34250050 34609987 34589829 33969794 32619801 31599852 SLGT 40357994 39177706 38137614 37707637 37107812 37007999 37538137 38298263 39398396 39958417 40498205 40357994 MRGL 28810308 30610338 31860301 35760141 36520137 39020199 39750233 40120304 39840460 40040543 40360600 41280658 42220611 43400377 45000133 45759868 45389411 44579175 42168722 41558479 40357908 39457500 38177498 36577715 36507990 37068161 38028334 39858681 40928878 41289078 40909452 39179776 36419897 34519733 32859736 31529818 30589937 29840048 28630102 TSTM 25888253 26877930 99999999 34877555 35537818 34918016 34348133 33768176 33378200 32608200 31958181 31258197 30608252 30238323 30218374 30508493 30988686 31938788 32558772 33658691 35008558 35928479 36748475 38018519 38878603 39758707 40188834 40429211 40169325 39689455 38889569 37489681 36379696 34599665 32449685 30869727 29319841 28379952 27760031 99999999 28610337 30020356 31830306 33940233 34930197 35800152 36260145 36730154 38780229 39300283 39500332 39520390 39370438 39060479 38390517 37090573 36410631 36030689 35320811 34910894 34970948 35320995 35911060 36301113 36661278 37291465 38261540 39881643 41091689 41701687 42191645 42251566 42551466 43031400 44181359 45251325 45991302 46471246 46451062 46640916 47090700 47520513 47680364 47540187 47350064 47369890 47199610 46689285 45768989 44438701 43678516 42698235 42428160 42357793 42387686 42587546 42747479 43727251 44217107 44267066 43987051 43407061 42877106 41907212 40757277 39947280 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE FST 15 NNE FST 10 NNW BGS 70 NW ABI 65 N ABI 20 ENE ABI 45 S ABI 35 SW SJT 55 NE 6R6 40 ESE FST. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE BFF 45 NW MHN 20 E 9V9 15 E MHE 25 ESE YKN 10 SE OFK 15 WNW GRI 15 WSW EAR 10 E MCK 15 ESE IML 15 NNW SNY 25 ESE BFF. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE OTG 35 NNW FOD 25 SW FOD 35 NNE LNK 35 SSE HSI 50 ENE DDC 35 S DDC 30 WSW GCK 20 SSE GLD 25 SW IML 35 NE AKO 25 NNE DEN 10 WSW FCL 25 NE LAR 50 NNE LAR 10 SSW CDR 50 ENE PIR 35 ESE ATY 25 NNE OTG. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE BWD 25 W JCT 15 ENE 6R6 35 S FST 15 W FST 20 SE INK 40 SE LBB 20 SW CDS 25 ENE CDS 10 SE FSI 30 E SPS 10 SSE MWL 30 ESE BWD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE PIT 20 W BWI 20 SE NHK 40 S NHK 30 N AVC 20 S ROA 20 NNW BLF HTS 30 NE LUK DAY 35 SE MFD 20 ESE PIT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW 6R6 35 SW FST 15 ENE INK BGD 15 SE GUY 20 SE ITR 35 N ITR 10 ESE AKO 15 ENE DEN 35 WNW DEN 50 W FCL 45 W LAR 50 SSE CPR 50 NW CDR 55 SW MBG 25 NNW ABR 10 SSW STC 25 SSW EAU 40 W BEH 45 NNE FWA 20 ENE LBE 20 W ACY 30 ESE SBY 30 ENE RZZ 30 N GSO 30 SW BLF 35 N JKL 30 WNW IND 30 S MMO 20 SW MLI 35 WNW LWD 25 SSW CNK 30 SW AVK 25 NW ADM FTW 50 S SEP 25 E JCT 40 NE DRT 50 S DRT. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW APF 50 ENE PBI ...CONT... 25 S HSE 15 WNW GSB 50 WSW SOP 30 NNW CAE 30 NNE AGS AGS 35 NE VDI 35 ESE VDI 25 E AYS 45 S AYS 40 S VLD 40 ESE TLH 30 SSE MAI 25 NW CEW 60 ESE MEI 45 WNW SEM 10 WNW BHM 20 W CHA 15 E CSV 45 WSW LOZ 30 ESE SDF 35 ESE BMG 25 NNE HUF 10 NNW CMI 30 NE IRK 30 NE CDJ 20 ESE STJ 15 SSW TOP 35 ESE ICT 25 SSE PNC 30 NE ADM 30 S DAL 20 SSE TPL 15 SSE SAT 20 WSW COT 55 WNW LRD ...CONT... 120 SW 6R6 35 SE MRF 10 ENE INK 35 WNW LBB 25 SW AMA 10 NW BGD 30 S GUY GUY 30 S ITR 30 W ITR 25 NE LIC 20 NW LIC 40 W LIC 15 NNW COS 35 WNW PUB 25 SSE ALS 45 NE 4SL 4SL 15 NW GNT 45 SSW GUP 55 SW GUP 50 ENE INW 60 N INW 45 SSE PGA 55 ESE SGU 25 SSW P38 65 NW P38 35 NW P68 35 N BAM 40 WSW OWY 20 NW OWY 35 NE OWY 10 WNW TWF 35 NNW BYI 60 NE SUN 30 ENE SMN 25 W BTM 25 WSW HLN 40 W 3HT 30 SSE LWT 70 NW MLS 30 NNW GDV 25 E SDY 20 WSW N60 40 N BIS 30 NNW JMS 25 NNW DTL 35 WSW DLH 20 WNW RHI 40 WNW MBL 55 SSW HTL 25 ENE MTC 65 E MTC 50 NE BFD 15 N ELM 35 NE BGM 40 SE UCA 10 WNW LEB 10 ESE MWN 30 E MWN 25 NNW PWM 25 SW PWM 20 SW PSM 25 E BDL 15 E ISP 60 SSE ISP.