DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0729 AM CDT WED AUG 14 2019 VALID TIME 141300Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 40468502 40958715 41528811 41798821 41918782 41688709 41318466 40988436 40688449 40468502 0.02 39510406 41000445 42720515 43840606 44980590 45440498 45140388 43650225 41880099 40910052 39670052 38790179 38820325 39510406 0.05 39690357 41870426 42720434 42950377 42840324 42520254 41970212 40000155 39510251 39690357 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 35400622 38040485 40530514 42100534 43650674 44540737 45690724 46460631 46550512 46000358 44500090 42169871 40309844 39129888 37620021 36840160 34930255 33250314 32870508 33700633 35400622 0.05 40428493 40968711 41518807 41788819 41918786 41688707 41298469 41018437 40718445 40428493 0.15 38400430 41330476 42710515 43810607 45000592 45450504 45110385 43120162 42120058 41270003 39580019 38540144 38080306 38400430 0.30 39710356 41500415 43350509 44120486 44140421 43450327 42090214 39970157 39490251 39710356 SIGN 39680392 41440438 42800499 43890561 44820533 44890409 43670275 41790181 39950120 38950196 38730236 38720349 39680392 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37980490 40530514 42120534 43630675 44590737 47350783 48170733 48200568 46120381 44300159 42169930 40329883 39239883 37560027 36820165 35280238 33280313 32860516 33670629 35400625 37980490 0.05 30658039 30458492 29558750 99999999 28919413 29529484 30699491 31729452 32239346 32379020 32558630 33068351 34118055 35387879 36547813 37757784 38877704 39227615 38977401 0.05 40448496 40968711 41508807 41788821 41918788 41678698 41348475 41028439 40728445 40448496 0.15 39810374 40760437 42010488 43380519 44150493 44470432 44140333 43420215 42030061 41070003 39540027 39020095 38860273 39810374 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 39680358 41640418 43430510 44120488 44150416 43480333 41990213 40010157 39480249 39680358 SLGT 38500149 38120318 38430430 40770461 42630510 43800605 44980589 45450498 45100385 42080052 41130002 39550022 38500149 MRGL 28959410 29659487 30779491 31729447 32229350 32379048 32548629 33078338 34118058 35417878 36477811 37717781 38827712 39217625 38967397 99999999 30658040 30488475 29698716 29678743 MRGL 37530031 36900161 35170245 33240312 32870508 33670629 35330624 36600558 38080487 40560510 42030532 42930604 43750683 44620739 47370781 48180734 48220570 46060378 44580102 42179876 40359841 39139888 37530031 MRGL 40668449 40448498 40948711 41538809 41788821 41918788 41648688 41338471 40988436 40668449 TSTM 49169963 48660075 46329966 45389864 42529656 41069533 39589488 38409561 37959705 37109827 35899951 35370041 34920117 34140110 33790066 34269934 34509750 33719457 33319321 33769149 33968985 34588687 35348408 36188349 37118429 38648444 40768773 41738923 42809043 43699013 44048873 43698675 42708527 41628331 42188182 42387956 42137725 42427484 42557299 41797217 41067235 41126917 99999999 27429675 27729747 27879942 27890090 99999999 30541098 31301041 32460935 33200963 33951004 35530881 36400718 36910681 37440767 38440738 38880630 40610576 41770591 42350691 43020746 43300810 43760945 44911006 45721045 46461120 48571336 48661581 49311683 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N LIC 30 S TOR 50 NNE DGW 35 ESE GCC 55 W RAP 40 SSW RAP 35 E AIA 35 S IML 20 NNW ITR 30 N LIC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NW GCK 20 ENE LHX 15 NE PUB 30 SSE CYS 15 ESE DGW 45 SW GCC 40 SW 4BQ 20 E 4BQ 35 SSW 2WX 30 E MHN 30 SW BBW 25 WNW HLC 55 NW GCK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE GLS 25 NNW GLS 35 SSW LFK 40 NNE LFK 25 SE SHV 70 NE HEZ 20 NNE MGM 30 NNE MCN 35 ENE CAE 30 N FAY 15 SSW AVC 30 WNW RIC DCA 25 E BWI 45 SE ACY ...CONT... 70 ESE SSI 25 WNW TLH 55 S PNS 55 SSW PNS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW DDC 15 NNW GUY 40 W AMA 40 N HOB 45 SW ROW 45 SE ONM 20 SSW SAF 60 SSE ALS 25 WSW PUB 10 NNW FCL 50 S DGW 20 E CPR 60 ESE WRL 25 WSW SHR 80 ENE LWT 35 W GGW 10 NW OLF 30 SE BHK 40 WNW PIR 20 S ONL 15 S HSI 20 N RSL 25 SW DDC. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE FWA 25 ENE MIE 35 S VPZ 35 ENE MMO 40 NE MMO 55 NW VPZ 15 NNE VPZ 35 NE FWA 35 W FDY 40 ESE FWA. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NNW DVL 35 NE MOT 60 ESE BIS 10 WSW ABR 15 NW SUX 20 NNE SDA 15 S STJ 30 E EMP 30 NE ICT 20 SE P28 45 NNW CSM 60 ESE BGD 35 ESE AMA 35 E PVW 50 SSW CDS 30 S LTS 30 WNW ADM 25 SSW DEQ 25 WNW ELD 15 ENE LLQ 35 SSW UOX HSV 35 S TYS 40 NE TYS 10 W LOZ 30 S LUK 40 N DNV 35 SSW RFD 30 NNE DBQ 20 SSE VOK 10 WNW OSH 45 NW MKG 20 SE GRR 25 E TOL 55 N CLE 20 NW JHW 20 W ELM 50 N MSV 20 ENE PSF 25 ESE BDL 25 SW GON 45 E ACK ...CONT... 50 ESE CRP CRP 20 N LRD 90 WNW LRD ...CONT... 80 SSW FHU 20 SSW FHU 30 SSE SAD 25 N SAD 20 S SOW GUP 30 NNW 4SL 55 ESE DRO 20 NNE DRO 25 WSW GUC 40 SE ASE 40 WNW FCL 35 NNW LAR 40 NNE RWL 50 E RIW 25 NE RIW 55 SSW COD 55 ENE WEY LVM 40 ESE HLN 45 ENE GPI 75 WNW GPI 120 NNE GEG.