DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0241 PM CDT WED AUG 14 2019 VALID TIME 142000Z - 151200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 41228772 41608851 42138885 42458889 42658854 42508803 42038744 41738685 41548574 41278442 40888383 40518384 40338429 40408499 40958715 41228772 0.02 39510406 41000445 42720515 43840606 44980590 45440498 45090404 43560296 42210116 40830065 40420050 39380038 38700085 38530142 38760327 39510406 0.05 40220297 41070343 41540321 41670257 41540210 41120159 40470121 39940116 39550137 39400191 39630251 40220297 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 35400622 38040485 40530514 42100534 43650674 44600736 45380781 46380740 46570631 46550512 46000358 44500090 42169871 40249842 39209886 38800013 37020162 34950259 34210305 33450504 33720634 35400622 0.05 41228776 41628856 42188888 42658862 42568818 42018750 41678667 41648572 41318447 40938361 40348333 40108375 40378496 40968711 41228776 0.15 38400430 41330476 42710515 44120608 44640639 45340615 45600548 45570483 45160389 43120162 42120058 41270003 39580019 38540144 38080306 38400430 SIGN 39680392 41440438 42900510 44030554 44520560 44750515 44660465 44290360 43700276 41790181 39950120 38950196 38730236 38720349 39680392 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37980490 40530514 42120534 43630675 44590737 47350783 48170733 48200568 46120381 44590100 43509971 42299873 40349836 39239883 37560027 36820165 35280238 33280313 32860516 33710636 35400625 37980490 0.05 30658039 30458492 29558750 99999999 28919413 29529484 30699491 31729452 31989312 32149026 32198628 32858338 34208020 34937859 35627783 36077767 36577813 37787769 38437733 38867680 39147606 38977401 0.05 41728669 41598597 41298435 40798341 40198262 39758309 40468505 40968722 41618854 42248889 42658858 42588812 41968733 41728669 0.15 39480032 38860083 38550140 38490243 38800331 39440394 40760437 42140490 43440546 44400586 45000525 45070451 44760352 44220253 43300117 42130016 41070003 39480032 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 45570483 45160389 44620327 44220253 43300117 42130016 41330006 41270003 41130004 41070003 40920006 39580019 39460034 38860083 38550140 38550143 38540144 38080306 38400430 41330476 42710515 44120608 44640639 45340615 45600548 45570483 MRGL 29139440 29529484 30699490 31729452 31989311 32149026 32198628 32858338 34208020 34937859 35627783 36077767 36587813 37787769 38437733 38867680 39147606 38997439 99999999 30628107 30458492 29988625 MRGL 46120381 44590100 43509971 42299873 40349836 39239883 39229885 39209886 39199887 37560027 36820165 35280238 33280313 32860516 33710636 35400625 37980490 40530514 42100534 42840599 43630675 44590737 44630738 45380781 45930759 47350783 48170733 48200568 46120381 MRGL 42018740 41918720 41728669 41668638 41648572 41328451 41298435 41108400 40888359 40198262 39758309 40278452 40378496 40718617 40878681 40968722 41198767 41228776 41628856 42188888 42208887 42248889 42278886 42458889 42588866 42658862 42658858 42658858 42648854 42658854 42648853 42588812 42018740 TSTM 30541098 31301041 32361030 33281021 34111010 35350955 36110905 36540852 37360805 38180747 38880630 40610576 41770591 42350691 43020746 43300810 43800958 44651064 45491110 46541126 47341260 47781507 48311727 48741800 49531859 99999999 48939324 48079491 48099706 47329884 45919952 44859915 44089854 43259796 40869629 39329563 38759565 38169624 37369762 36449868 35479974 34770074 33980142 33370144 33050069 33279970 34079747 34339682 34599629 34729571 34709514 34559454 33819360 33489165 33708993 34328749 34328749 34588687 34898595 35558489 36148442 36798429 38178462 38888521 40568782 41548932 42369011 42979031 43399020 43648971 43748910 43528776 42988591 41428361 40828257 40918171 41358030 41547666 41867456 41977329 41677272 41017254 40787189 40677102 99999999 27349629 28369759 28579839 28729891 28870006 28810108 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE 4BQ 35 SSW 2WX 40 NNW RAP 30 ENE RAP 45 NW VTN 30 SSW ANW 25 WSW BBW 25 WSW BBW 30 SW BBW 30 SW BBW 35 ESE LBF 25 NW HLC 30 WNW HLC 60 SE GLD 55 NW GCK 55 NW GCK 55 NW GCK 20 W LAA 15 NE PUB 15 NNE CYS 10 ESE DGW 30 WSW GCC 30 ESE SHR 35 W 4BQ 10 NNW 4BQ 30 ENE 4BQ. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE GLS 15 NNW GLS 35 E UTS 35 NNE LFK 15 N IER 70 N MCB 10 SE MGM 20 NE MCN 30 W FLO 15 E FAY 15 NE GSB 20 NE RWI 10 SSW AVC 30 NW RIC 35 SSW DCA 10 E DCA 30 W DOV 35 SSE ACY ...CONT... 35 ENE JAX 30 SSE MAI 40 WSW PFN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE BHK 40 WNW PIR 25 SW 9V9 15 S ONL 20 SSE HSI 25 N RSL 25 N RSL 25 N RSL 25 N RSL 20 SW DDC 15 NW GUY 40 W AMA 40 N HOB 45 SSE SRR 40 SE ONM 20 SSW SAF 30 SW PUB 10 NW FCL 45 S DGW 25 E CPR 55 NNW CPR 25 WSW SHR 20 WSW SHR 45 SE BIL 45 ENE BIL 80 ENE LWT 35 W GGW 10 NNW OLF 25 SE BHK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW VPZ 35 NNW VPZ 20 W SBN SBN 30 E SBN 40 WSW TOL 35 SW TOL 20 WNW FDY 10 SSE FDY 20 NE CMH 20 SSW CMH 30 NNW DAY 25 ENE MIE 45 ENE LAF 30 NNE LAF 35 SSW VPZ 40 WSW VPZ 40 WSW VPZ 20 NNE MMO 10 E RFD 10 E RFD 10 ENE RFD 15 ENE RFD 15 SSE JVL 20 E JVL 20 E JVL 25 E JVL 25 E JVL 25 E JVL 25 E JVL 25 E JVL 20 SW RAC 45 NNW VPZ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW FHU 20 SSW FHU 40 ENE TUS 45 NW SAD 15 SSW SOW 45 WSW GUP 45 NNW GUP 20 SW FMN 20 NW DRO 30 SE MTJ 40 SE ASE 40 WNW FCL 35 NNW LAR 40 NNE RWL 50 E RIW 25 NE RIW 55 SSW COD 25 E WEY 20 S BZN 35 E HLN 55 NNE 3DU 20 NE 3TH 50 NNE GEG 70 ENE OMK 85 NNE OMK ...CONT... 25 NNE INL 40 N BJI 10 NNE GFK 30 NNW JMS 50 ENE MBG 55 SW ABR 25 SW HON 35 S MHE 25 E LNK 15 N TOP 20 S TOP 10 SSW EMP 25 SSW ICT 25 S AVK 30 WNW CSM 35 NW CDS 20 SE PVW 30 SE LBB 75 NW ABI 60 N ABI 30 WSW ADM 10 ENE ADM 35 SW MLC 10 SSE MLC 35 SW RKR 35 S RKR 35 NE TXK 10 SSE LLQ 15 NNE GWO 30 SSE MSL 30 SSE MSL HSV 45 WSW CHA 30 SSE CSV 30 NW TYS 25 SSW LOZ 10 N LEX 45 WSW LUK 25 NNW DNV 35 WNW MMO 30 E DBQ 20 SSW LNR 10 N LNR 35 SE VOK 30 WSW OSH 40 N MKE 20 WNW GRR 15 SE TOL MFD 15 W CAK 20 ENE YNG 25 NE IPT 15 NE MSV 30 WSW BAF 20 SSW BDL 30 ENE ISP 30 SSW BID 45 SE BID ...CONT... 80 ESE CRP NIR 45 WNW NIR 25 NE COT 60 WNW COT 40 SSW DRT.