DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1254 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020 VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35499932 35979777 35769666 34669589 33289652 32549772 32319905 32629982 33370027 34560015 35499932 0.02 39120345 39930395 41370355 41990272 41520159 40370147 39180222 39120345 0.02 43607111 42647059 41687197 41327408 41237650 41327885 41937935 43417801 43907559 43987283 43607111 0.05 43077731 43337421 43377293 43087195 42567173 42157216 41807423 41667598 41777763 42607786 43077731 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28800388 32270312 33890227 35370172 36370346 39520486 42750412 43680203 42940010 39810062 37590173 36490084 36669942 37649665 38289499 38109254 38389021 39178773 40668520 42368244 99999999 44287687 44197337 43827187 43557086 42786932 99999999 40037312 40257588 39917881 39757966 39048212 38388415 37238653 35798836 33528926 30778927 29459041 29309366 30199561 29589697 28359788 26029895 0.15 41667530 41317779 40928022 41268088 42038079 42957948 43427714 43557426 43467310 43107177 42497151 42017209 41667530 0.15 39160341 40000396 41440361 42070263 41590164 40520144 39180217 39160341 0.15 28700358 32520251 35070089 36329893 37379529 37189385 35909313 34779397 33419608 30799735 26479960 SIGN 28370364 30400281 32520198 34300070 34870021 35349954 35539858 35349783 34719765 34109797 33029896 31769979 30250062 29380107 28080155 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28860389 32170315 33930223 35330171 36300345 39450484 42860409 43680203 42940000 39780057 37480176 36460079 36739925 37789643 38249508 38049272 38468997 39198759 41018462 42368244 99999999 44357667 44237363 43657113 42786932 99999999 40067310 40237609 39887931 38788301 37268652 35768845 33638928 30648929 29489037 29279359 30229557 29659693 28389791 26189889 0.15 39160337 39970395 41410356 42030267 41620165 40510148 39250227 39160337 0.15 43677847 43777555 43817344 43477142 42727059 42047071 41297232 40847430 40717641 40267945 39368263 39548357 40578358 43677847 0.15 28670361 32520251 35110094 36229914 37379520 37159377 35839314 34819397 33389612 30599750 26599957 0.30 43027739 43407302 43107177 42487173 42087242 41577514 41687757 42557783 43027739 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 43077733 43287503 43387285 43127180 42467168 41977282 41587557 41727766 42547787 43077733 SLGT 42577062 41937071 41377197 40727435 40707651 40327893 39328280 39548356 40538366 41178265 42678022 43677823 43787337 43417133 42577062 SLGT 28700360 32560252 35140090 36369902 37349525 37159381 35799310 34749402 33319616 30699742 26699954 SLGT 40110397 41550358 42070258 41580169 40440148 39200236 39190346 40110397 MRGL 28920394 32270312 34000224 35440168 36410353 39540491 42850411 43710200 42899994 39540063 37460178 36490080 36699938 38249503 38119272 38359031 39158783 40208599 41258430 42268248 99999999 44327674 44137328 43657122 42836941 99999999 40057317 40207611 39837938 38318427 37118673 35738846 33438932 30678928 29359042 29379359 30259560 29589700 28359791 26089895 TSTM 28688340 29028224 29378156 29638097 29858039 99999999 38717426 38767574 38297803 37268131 35728506 34538633 33218691 31518730 30188753 29718750 99999999 29500476 31680434 33170356 34420253 34820266 34700356 34460424 34890506 36460582 38000680 39160790 40180863 40810783 41740660 42220631 42660691 43140779 43370996 43741165 44581320 46001509 46691634 47681800 48291970 49322030 99999999 49690531 48740377 45570062 42999845 40649620 39299476 39089194 39899040 42178642 43328443 43838280 44308093 99999999 44897691 45267369 45007137 44617013 44156912 43436856 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E ROC 20 ENE UCA 10 SSE RUT 15 WSW CON 15 NE ORH 10 WNW BDL 20 NNE AVP 50 NW IPT 40 SSW ROC 15 E ROC. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE BOS 20 NE EWB GON 10 W EWR 35 NNE CXY 25 E LBE 30 WNW UNI 45 SE DAY 35 S FDY 25 NNW MFD 40 N ERI 45 NW ROC 25 NW RUT 10 SSE LCI 25 NE BOS. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 SSE MRF 40 ESE HOB 45 E AMA 35 SW AVK 25 SSE CNU 20 NNE UMN 35 S HRO 40 ESE RKR 40 SE GYI 30 NNE AUS 60 S LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W AKO 25 S BFF 10 E AIA 45 SW MHN 10 SE IML ITR 15 ESE LIC 40 W AKO. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S MRF 30 SSE HOB 30 WSW PVW 15 N AMA 20 W CAO 15 S DEN 50 W CDR 30 SW PHP 20 N ANW 45 WNW HLC 30 NNE EHA 40 SSE LBL 40 W AVK 45 SSW OJC 40 NW TBN 30 S STL 35 SE MTO 30 W MIE 35 SW TOL 30 SE MTC ...CONT... 40 WNW ART 25 SSW BTV 10 ENE LCI 70 SE PWM ...CONT... 50 S ISP 40 E CXY 30 ENE MGW 25 NE LEX 20 WNW BWG 25 ENE MKL 45 E GWO 25 NNW GPT 20 SE HUM 50 SSE BPT 35 SSW UTS 50 N VCT 15 W NIR 45 W MFE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW CTY 10 S OCF 35 WNW DAB 30 N DAB 55 E SGJ ...CONT... 55 SSE ACY 30 SSW DOV 25 ENE CHO BLF 15 S CSV 25 ESE HSV 25 SSW BHM 15 WNW GZH 30 SW PNS 55 SSW PNS ...CONT... 75 SW MRF 30 ESE GDP 40 NNW HOB 45 E CVS 50 NE CVS 25 NNW CVS 55 W CVS 55 S LVS 60 NNE SAF 40 S GUC 35 E GJT 50 ESE VEL 25 NW CAG 30 E RWL 50 S CPR 30 SW CPR 35 E RIW 40 ESE JAC 25 NE IDA 45 W MQM 25 ESE P69 35 E PUW 20 WNW GEG 15 SW OMK 70 NNW OMK ...CONT... 110 N OLF 40 N ISN 10 WNW MBG 35 NNE ONL 35 ESE LNK 10 ESE FLV 25 NE COU 40 W SPI BEH 25 SW MBS 10 ENE BAX 110 ENE BAX ...CONT... 75 NW ART 60 NNW BTV 25 NNW BML 25 NW AUG 35 ESE AUG 70 S BHB.