DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0755 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020 VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39070242 38600309 38480381 38570442 39180437 40030392 41370355 41990272 41520159 40370147 39070242 0.02 44117064 43786983 42747037 42647059 41687197 41327408 41237650 41327885 41937935 43417801 44377436 44477241 44117064 0.02 34779590 33589651 33079745 32829786 32739865 33339993 33920044 34850022 35199956 35499817 35519672 34779590 0.02 29140267 29740292 30330277 30690171 30190039 29720004 29489924 29699847 30179762 30429654 30109568 29669538 29159562 28619609 28189732 27520009 0.05 43007644 43857379 43777244 43637185 43457138 43297101 43147101 42737138 42367183 42267209 41807423 41667598 42047692 42487701 43007644 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28840427 30320402 32380305 33910198 35050096 35490166 35990277 35500392 35400461 35710491 36230491 38340489 40620495 42980414 44280411 44600337 44160208 43980138 43219997 42939985 39810062 38580130 37490174 36570075 36629947 36949895 38039714 38069614 37599483 37139322 37009182 37139095 37968884 38888796 39528728 40668520 42368244 99999999 44957560 44937258 44707119 44076957 43466867 99999999 40037312 40257588 39987852 39897948 39048212 38388415 37238653 35798836 33538919 31068982 30299099 29899339 29149499 28179625 27359744 26319933 0.15 41557511 41377765 40928022 41268088 41908069 42807860 44047560 44117368 44097237 43737116 43427062 42677071 42047208 41557511 0.15 39160341 40000396 41440361 42070263 41590164 40520144 39180217 39160341 0.15 28930399 29950390 30500368 32450270 34320127 35609938 36049728 36129575 35929500 35479431 35079433 34529480 33469600 30599754 27249962 0.30 32690182 33060173 33770114 34470016 35199886 35389792 35349732 35259693 34929688 34729695 34529782 34109915 33120087 32360161 32690182 SIGN 33790124 35319890 35589782 35579639 35509617 35279598 34559613 34139694 33839786 33539894 33389977 32450112 31370179 30880174 30070062 29619984 28999981 28549996 28480044 28590062 29430133 29530152 29370306 29930340 30870307 32290237 32960188 33790124 && ... WIND ... 0.05 40067310 40237609 39887931 38788301 37268652 35768845 33638928 30648929 29529040 29619282 29479431 26659684 25819842 99999999 28980403 30520384 33670219 35110091 35530168 36130304 35820383 36170440 37480450 39430488 42860409 43680203 42940000 39780057 37610166 37380166 36470078 36739940 37179767 37609735 37969681 37949591 37459441 37109325 37049249 37019196 37079110 37349020 37988883 39458738 41018462 42368244 99999999 44897545 44997297 44267016 43416847 0.15 39160337 39970395 41410356 42030267 41620165 40510148 39250227 39160337 0.15 42947829 44007576 44107239 43697051 43207005 42047071 41297232 40847430 40717641 40267945 39368263 39548357 40578358 42947829 0.15 28800309 30160327 32620247 34710007 35209908 35479838 35659758 35899623 35719544 34919513 34319559 33269594 32159582 30799555 29949542 29229552 28439623 27759737 27039831 26499956 0.30 41947727 42297811 42807781 43247667 43647514 43697352 43677277 43547184 43267098 42927082 42537115 42127244 41577514 41947727 0.30 29080111 30110060 30690066 31190080 31690121 31990146 32470165 33260111 33480081 34000004 34939841 35139792 35299738 35279692 34489646 33899667 33079735 32219759 31659739 31029727 30009749 29259808 28869847 28549901 28239966 28110031 SIGN 29560151 30490173 31260165 31910171 32450173 33330103 34439925 34999833 35309744 35269695 34809664 34419644 33859665 33179727 32179751 31549720 30939697 30169677 29579685 28909731 28029890 27859976 28120072 29560151 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42927082 42537115 42127244 41577514 41947727 42297811 42807781 43247667 43647514 43697352 43677277 43547184 43267098 42927082 ENH 29240084 30110061 30690066 31190080 31690121 31990146 32360161 32690182 33060173 33770114 34470016 35199886 35389792 35349732 35279701 35279693 34489646 33899667 33079735 32219759 31659739 31029727 30009749 29259808 28869847 28549901 28249966 28150014 SLGT 43207005 42047071 41297232 40847430 40717641 40267945 39368263 39548357 40578358 42947829 44007576 44007569 44047560 44117368 44097258 44107239 43697051 43207005 SLGT 41770201 41620165 41550164 40520144 39180217 39160341 39750379 39970395 39990395 40000396 41440361 42070263 41770201 SLGT 29290396 29950390 30500368 32450270 34320127 35609938 36049728 36129575 35929500 35479431 35079433 34529480 33639582 33269594 32159582 30799555 29949542 29229552 28439623 27759737 27039831 26649922 MRGL 40077369 40167470 40237608 39987857 39887931 39358120 39048212 38678328 37618577 37238653 35798836 33538919 33178928 30648929 29529040 29619282 29489427 29379433 26689676 25829828 99999999 29400417 30320402 32380305 33440232 33670219 35050096 35490166 35990277 35500392 35400461 35710491 36230491 38340489 40620495 42980414 44280411 44600337 44160208 43990138 43219997 42939985 40690041 39780057 37610166 37420166 36570075 36600012 36739940 36789920 36949895 38039714 38069614 37599483 37139322 37019194 37049156 37139095 37868910 37988883 38668817 38888796 39048780 39478734 39528728 39958652 40878488 41968310 99999999 44957505 44957414 44997297 44947275 44937258 44707118 44076957 43676898 43606885 TSTM 44897691 45267369 45007137 44617013 44156912 43436856 99999999 39237317 38867584 38917856 37588211 35658611 35608771 34128800 32648743 30188753 29718750 99999999 27098314 27628232 28038115 28538013 99999999 29380453 31140406 33190295 34230181 35280145 35720256 34750407 34530487 35520585 37860650 38870792 39710988 40641021 41460933 42500928 42661101 43571448 45351759 47611874 48291970 49322030 99999999 49200966 48730738 48360381 46210068 43279871 41849700 40989396 39509129 39398927 40218822 42158528 44488085 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S PSM 15 NNW BOS 15 E BAF 20 WSW MSV 25 SW ELM 45 NE BFD 25 SSW ROC 30 WNW SYR 35 NNE UCA 25 NNE GFL 15 NE RUT 20 W LCI 15 NW PSM 10 S PSM. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE DRT 55 NNE DRT 50 SSW SJT 20 SW SJT 40 SSE BGS 15 S BGS 10 NNW BGS 40 NNW BGS 40 S LBB 40 E LBB CDS 20 ESE CSM 20 W OKC 15 ESE OKC 35 SSW CQB 30 S CQB 35 ENE ADM 10 N GYI 15 N FTW 35 E SEP 10 W ACT 15 SE TPL 25 SSE AUS 30 SE SAT 45 S SAT 15 ENE COT 30 WSW COT 60 NW LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PWM 25 SSE BOS 15 WSW GON 10 NW EWR 40 NE CXY LBE 25 WNW UNI 45 SE DAY 30 S FDY 20 E BUF 15 E ART 15 E ART 20 E ART 30 SE SLK MPV 10 SE MPV 10 WNW PWM 35 SSE PWM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE AIA 40 SW MHN 45 SW MHN 10 E IML ITR 15 ESE LIC 35 N LIC 40 WSW AKO 40 WSW AKO 40 WSW AKO 30 S BFF 10 E AIA 45 ESE AIA. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S MRF 30 SSE MRF 20 ENE MRF 35 ESE HOB 30 ENE PVW 20 NNW CSM 35 NW CQB 10 SE TUL 25 NE MKO 10 NNE FSM 15 ENE RKR 35 SSW RKR 20 W PRX 40 SW PRX 30 WSW TYR UTS 20 NNW HOU LBX 20 S PSX 10 ESE CRP 50 SSW ALI 65 SSE LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E NEL 10 SE TTN 40 E CXY 25 SSW AOO 30 S LBE 10 E PKB 15 SSE UNI 45 WNW HTS 40 S SDF 20 NNW BWG 35 ENE MKL 45 W CBM 50 ESE GWO 20 NW GPT 15 ESE HUM 45 WSW 7R4 30 ENE GLS 25 E GLS 65 NE BRO 25 S MFE ...CONT... 70 S MRF MRF 25 SSE HOB 35 WSW LBB 20 W LBB 45 ESE AMA 20 N AMA 15 W DHT 30 NW TCC 35 ESE LVS 15 ENE LVS 40 SSW RTN 20 WNW PUB 10 NNE FCL 55 W CDR 55 WNW RAP 40 NNW RAP 25 WNW PHP 10 ESE PHP 40 NE VTN 25 NNE ANW 35 SSE LBF 30 S MCK 45 NNE EHA 30 NNE EHA 35 SSE LBL 55 ESE LBL 40 W AVK 30 W AVK 20 NW AVK 30 NNE ICT 20 S EMP 35 NNW JLN 10 SE SGF 20 NNW UNO 25 NE UNO 35 NW POF 10 ENE MDH 25 S MVN 45 E SLO 45 SSE MTO 40 SW HUF HUF HUF 20 NW IND 20 ESE FWA 20 SE DTW ...CONT... 10 W MSS 35 E MSS 35 NNE BTV 25 W EFK 15 W EFK BML 20 SSE AUG 60 SE AUG 65 SSW BHB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 NW ART 60 NNW BTV 25 NNW BML 25 NW AUG 35 ESE AUG 70 S BHB ...CONT... 75 E ACY 25 SW DOV 45 SW MRB 55 WNW BLF 45 SE BNA 60 N MSL 40 NE CBM 35 NW SEM 30 SW PNS 55 SSW PNS ...CONT... 40 WSW SRQ 20 NE SRQ 30 NNE AGR 40 NE MLB ...CONT... 75 SSW MRF 55 N MRF 40 NNE HOB PVW 15 ENE AMA 20 S DHT 40 SW TCC 55 ENE 4CR 15 ESE SAF 45 NW ALS 25 N MTJ 45 E PUC 40 WNW VEL 15 SW RKS 35 SW LND 45 W BPI 10 WNW SUN 40 NNE BKE 40 ENE EPH 15 SW OMK 70 NNW OMK ...CONT... 45 N HVR 50 NW GGW 15 NW ISN 40 S BIS 45 SE 9V9 25 ESE OFK 25 N LWD 30 S UIN 35 SW DEC 10 NNE CMI 15 ESE AZO 115 ENE BAX.