DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0247 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020 VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 44277123 44027038 43207006 42337015 41647055 41307222 41097395 40417890 39538209 39908203 40668161 41887974 42827757 43137657 43887542 44377436 44477241 44277123 0.02 34779856 34769777 34349744 33589758 33049830 32969909 33089998 32810059 32440131 32600160 32910162 33660101 34320026 34779856 0.02 29140267 29740292 30330277 30690171 30190039 29720004 29489924 29699847 30179762 30429654 30109568 29669538 29159562 28619609 28189732 27520009 0.02 38830212 38450258 38400361 38840387 39710393 40290393 41450358 42040263 41570156 40060150 38830212 0.05 43087602 43697463 43837298 43747201 43557131 43297101 43057082 42597072 42227060 41987085 41667225 41487377 41657531 41977649 42467658 43087602 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 44957560 44937258 44707119 44076957 43466867 99999999 40037312 40257588 39987852 39897948 39048212 38388415 37238653 35798836 33538919 31068982 30299099 29899339 29149499 28179625 27359744 26319933 99999999 28840427 30320402 32580300 34560193 35210195 35310243 35380328 35390358 35400461 35710491 36230491 38340489 40620495 42980414 44280411 44600337 44160208 43980138 43219997 42939985 39750064 38300104 38200016 38199924 37489883 36859896 36859818 36609695 36479551 36399424 36469290 36729147 37358979 37968884 38888796 39528728 40728513 41818208 42818037 0.15 41557511 41377765 40928022 41268088 41908069 42807860 44047560 44117368 44097237 43737116 43427062 42677071 42047208 41557511 0.15 39150348 40000396 41440361 42070263 41590164 41030149 40090154 38740211 38670294 39150348 0.15 28930399 29950390 30500368 32450270 34320127 34860108 35210145 35390189 35530233 35940241 36230215 36410156 36340104 35479869 35159817 34919744 34749663 34199619 33479607 30599754 27249962 0.30 32690182 33060173 33830117 34430017 34649939 34829860 34799801 34709774 34529776 34069913 32770027 32010069 31710121 32240177 32690182 SIGN 34629973 34189963 33230046 32400092 31870138 32170184 32980180 33940104 34460010 34629973 && ... WIND ... 0.05 44957530 44997297 44747126 44066954 43336843 99999999 40067310 40237609 39887931 38788301 37268652 35788834 33358925 30648929 29529040 29619282 29479431 26659684 25729863 99999999 28980403 30520384 33670219 34590198 35220226 35410331 35770386 36170440 37480450 39430488 42860409 43680203 42940000 39780057 38320102 38240042 38169918 37489885 36829888 36849819 36579687 36529546 36459446 36489291 36729135 37348984 37988883 39458738 41068450 42148150 43048022 0.15 39170350 39970395 41450360 42030267 41620165 41100150 40090150 38790212 38690298 39170350 0.15 42947829 44007576 44107239 43697051 43207005 42047071 41297232 40847430 40717641 40267945 39368263 39548357 40578358 42947829 0.15 28800309 30160327 32600248 34500116 34810109 35250148 35510230 35870245 36270214 36430143 36079993 35809922 35409814 35059729 34889572 34959497 35129395 34919365 34599371 34239463 33839545 33089585 31819550 30719446 29689437 29199486 28439623 27759737 27039831 26309973 0.30 41947727 42297811 42807781 43247667 43647514 43697352 43677277 43547184 43267098 42927082 42537115 42127244 41577514 41947727 0.30 29080111 30110060 30690066 31190080 31690121 31990146 32470165 33260111 33480081 34109995 34799866 34769775 34409736 33799709 33079735 32219759 31659739 31029727 30009749 29259808 28869847 28549901 28239966 27920090 SIGN 29560151 30490173 31260165 31910171 32450173 33330103 34439925 34649877 34619807 34259776 33629747 33119737 32179751 31549720 30939697 30169677 29579685 28909731 28029890 27859976 28130070 29560151 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... ENH 42927082 42537115 42127244 41577514 41947727 42297811 42807781 43247667 43647514 43697352 43677277 43547184 43267098 42927082 ENH 28980106 30110060 30690066 31190080 31690121 31990146 32360161 32690182 33060173 33820116 34390021 34629953 34819856 34749772 34469741 33809712 33129733 32219759 31659739 31029727 30009749 29259808 28869847 28549901 28249966 27810085 SLGT 43207005 42047071 41297232 40847430 40717641 40267945 39368263 39548357 40578358 42947829 44007576 44007569 44047560 44117368 44097258 44107239 43697051 43207005 SLGT 28860397 29950390 30500368 32450270 34440117 34860108 35270158 35500228 35790248 36260220 36440148 36089999 35789913 35479824 35239779 35079731 34879579 34969492 35129395 34939361 34619369 34259459 33839545 33079587 31849554 30659453 29689435 29209485 28439623 27759737 27039831 26449946 SLGT 41770201 41620165 41180152 40030154 38740215 38690299 39170354 39970395 39990395 40000396 41440361 42070263 41770201 MRGL 39877265 40167470 40237608 39987857 39887931 39358120 39048212 38678328 37618577 37238653 35798836 33538919 33178928 30648929 29529040 29619282 29419366 28859438 26689676 25829828 99999999 29020417 30320402 32380305 33540247 34630197 35260225 35420324 35410367 35400461 35710491 36230491 38340489 40620495 42980414 44280411 44600337 44160208 43990138 43219997 42939985 40690041 39780057 38260104 38230010 38179920 37419883 36829896 36849822 36569687 36449443 36469290 36729141 37318983 37988883 38668817 38888796 39048780 39478734 39528728 39958652 40888475 42038170 43098026 99999999 44957505 44957414 44997297 44947275 44937258 44707118 44076957 43676898 43606885 TSTM 45557105 45156980 44576857 43586735 99999999 39237317 38867584 38917856 37588211 35698615 35648698 35468719 35128751 34128800 32648743 30188753 29718750 99999999 27098314 27658246 28468154 29388016 99999999 29380453 31140406 33120295 34620255 35020264 35140333 34860405 34530487 35520585 37860650 38870792 39710988 40781030 41470903 41830785 42120767 42420785 42570839 42490984 42451109 43391446 44651694 45351759 47611874 48291970 49322030 99999999 49200966 48730738 48360381 46210068 43279871 41849700 40989396 39859187 39339177 39109150 38829084 38799012 39058912 39358853 39538796 40058721 40528629 40938553 41488373 42288201 42988134 && THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S PSM 15 NNW BOS 15 E BAF 20 WSW MSV 25 SW ELM 45 NE BFD 25 SSW ROC 30 WNW SYR 35 NNE UCA 25 NNE GFL 15 NE RUT 20 W LCI 15 NW PSM 10 S PSM. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW DRT 55 NNE DRT 50 SSW SJT 20 SW SJT 40 SSE BGS 15 S BGS 10 NNW BGS 40 NNW BGS 40 S LBB 40 ENE LBB CDS 15 W LTS 15 NW FSI 30 SSE CHK 25 WNW ADM 25 WNW GYI 20 N FTW 35 E SEP 10 W ACT 15 SE TPL 25 SSE AUS 30 SE SAT 45 S SAT 15 ENE COT 30 WSW COT 85 WNW LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE PWM 25 SSE BOS 15 WSW GON 10 NW EWR 40 NE CXY LBE 25 WNW UNI 45 SE DAY 30 S FDY 20 E BUF 15 E ART 15 E ART 20 E ART 30 SE SLK MPV 10 SE MPV 10 WNW PWM 35 SSE PWM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 S MRF 30 SSE MRF 20 ENE MRF 35 ESE HOB 35 ENE PVW 45 SE AMA 10 ENE AMA 35 WNW AMA 15 SSE DHT 25 NE DHT 15 S GUY 70 NW CSM 30 N CSM 30 NNW CHK 15 NE CHK 30 SE OKC MLC 20 WSW RKR 30 ESE FSM 35 SW RUE 35 WNW HOT 15 NW DEQ 15 N PRX 45 SSW PRX 35 SSW TYR 40 SSE LFK 25 SW BPT 10 SW GLS 20 S PSX 10 ESE CRP 50 SSW ALI 75 S LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE AIA 40 SW MHN 45 W LBF 35 S IML 35 SSE ITR 45 NNW LAA 10 SE LIC 40 WSW AKO 40 WSW AKO 40 WSW AKO 30 S BFF 10 E AIA 45 ESE AIA. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE ISP 10 SE TTN 40 E CXY 25 SSW AOO 30 S LBE 10 E PKB 15 SSE UNI 45 WNW HTS 40 S SDF 20 NNW BWG 35 ENE MKL 45 W CBM 50 ESE GWO 20 NW GPT 15 ESE HUM 45 WSW 7R4 45 SSE BPT 40 SE GLS 65 NE BRO 25 S MFE ...CONT... 95 S MRF MRF 25 SSE HOB 40 WSW LBB 35 NNW PVW 30 W AMA 25 NE TCC 15 NNW TCC 35 ESE LVS 15 ENE LVS 40 SSW RTN 20 WNW PUB 10 NNE FCL 55 W CDR 55 WNW RAP 40 NNW RAP 25 WNW PHP 10 ESE PHP 40 NE VTN 25 NNE ANW 35 SSE LBF 30 S MCK 30 NW GCK 35 NNW DDC 50 ENE DDC 15 WNW P28 15 WNW AVK 25 E AVK 15 SE PNC 20 ESE GMJ 20 NE HRO 25 E UNO 15 WNW CGI 25 S MVN 45 E SLO 45 SSE MTO 40 SW HUF HUF HUF 20 NW IND 25 ESE FWA 45 N CLE 70 N ERI ...CONT... 10 W MSS 35 E MSS 35 NNE BTV 25 W EFK 15 W EFK BML 20 SSE AUG 60 SE AUG 65 SSW BHB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N BML 55 WNW BGR 15 NW BHB 80 SE BHB ...CONT... 75 E ACY 25 SW DOV 45 SW MRB 55 WNW BLF 45 SE BNA 40 SSW BNA 55 SSW BNA 25 NNE MSL 40 NE CBM 35 NW SEM 30 SW PNS 55 SSW PNS ...CONT... 40 WSW SRQ 20 NNE SRQ 15 WSW ORL 55 ENE DAB ...CONT... 75 SSW MRF 55 N MRF 35 NNE HOB 45 ENE CVS 55 WSW AMA 15 ESE TCC 35 SW TCC 55 ENE 4CR 15 ESE SAF 45 NW ALS 25 N MTJ 45 E PUC 45 WNW VEL 10 SSE RKS 35 W RWL 35 NW RWL 50 ESE LND 25 SE LND 15 ESE BPI 50 W BPI 10 SW SUN 45 WSW MYL 40 NNE BKE 40 ENE EPH 15 SW OMK 70 NNW OMK ...CONT... 45 N HVR 50 NW GGW 15 NW ISN 40 S BIS 45 SE 9V9 25 ESE OFK 25 N LWD 35 WSW UIN 45 NE COU 45 ENE COU 25 W STL 10 SSW ALN 30 NNW SLO 15 WSW MTO 15 ENE MTO 25 ESE DNV 35 ENE LAF 20 W FWA 10 SSE TOL 45 ESE MTC 80 ENE MTC.