DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0743 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2020 VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42329495 42699408 42919322 42669200 42049153 41299153 40509228 40099356 39769515 39829579 40359580 41169567 41919537 42329495 0.02 33949072 32999043 32339053 31489121 31279195 31089303 31309349 31559348 31849357 32499390 32719438 32849513 33099557 34419557 35519482 36049335 35759178 34769104 33949072 0.05 33349166 33069183 32839223 32689282 32979346 33279444 33719485 34019485 34529462 34999386 34999279 34359194 33349166 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 33860378 34960440 36770469 37670423 37840344 37320271 34710248 33920290 33860378 0.05 41019120 40579203 40149351 39759526 39859577 40329580 41079565 41899536 42289497 42749387 43019290 42809181 42119114 41579102 41019120 && ... WIND ... 0.05 39759524 39859577 40539578 41909536 42309497 42739390 43009290 42799178 42079114 41619100 41069110 40569200 40139354 39759524 0.05 33850377 34960440 36770469 37690422 37840340 37380273 34720245 33950287 33850377 0.05 34739098 34049078 33019046 32409051 31519111 31269205 31109307 31259351 31509349 31859360 32489392 32729447 32859520 33099554 34459556 35539480 36069332 35779179 34739098 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 33339166 33069185 32839223 32689285 32979343 33299444 33709491 34029488 34529461 35009386 34999277 34369195 33339166 MRGL 37320270 34710248 33930289 33870379 34960440 36770469 37670423 37840344 37320270 MRGL 41589103 41079110 40569204 40119359 39759521 39839577 40439581 41149564 41929534 42319495 42719400 43019293 42789181 42119114 41589103 MRGL 35759178 34759102 34139080 32959045 32429051 31859092 31509123 31279200 31109306 31259349 31529349 31849360 32499391 32719444 32839518 33069554 34429558 35519484 36049337 35759178 TSTM 29009416 29499522 29579581 30239693 31679798 32119787 33389789 34199770 35599768 36839800 36819904 35689967 33680090 32800195 31950328 32200382 32930425 34570484 37630581 38930598 39610590 39590482 38560371 38040186 37940105 38460056 39140048 40250113 40810257 41460294 42240287 42980186 44209951 44799814 44789598 45339230 44678950 43708767 42168487 40958302 39667931 37607743 36797784 36908053 37168324 36498587 35508777 33558827 31668841 29648748 99999999 25047976 25238034 25558092 26048184 27798279 28828253 29528178 30398052 99999999 49162156 46782073 45161941 44232049 43972284 44252377 45212456 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE LLQ 40 NNE MLU 25 NNW MLU 35 S ELD 40 WSW ELD 30 WSW TXK 30 E PRX 30 W DEQ 35 S RKR 35 SE FSM 25 SE RUE 15 N PBF 20 SSE LLQ. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SPD 55 ENE CVS 40 SE CVS 45 SW CVS 50 WSW TCC 10 WNW RTN 30 NNE TAD 15 SSE LHX SPD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW MLI 20 N BRL 40 NE IRK 20 N CDJ 15 W STJ 20 SSW FNB 30 NNW FNB 20 SE OMA DNS 25 SE SLB 15 NE FOD 20 ESE MCW 35 ENE ALO 30 SW DBQ 30 WNW MLI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW BVX 60 WSW MEM 45 NNE GLH 45 SSW GWO 70 NE HEZ 25 NE HEZ 10 SSE HEZ 20 ESE ESF 10 ENE POE 25 NW POE 25 WSW IER 30 WNW IER SHV 30 NE GGG 35 NNE TYR 40 S PRX 35 SSE MLC 30 WNW FSM 20 SW HRO 10 WNW BVX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE GLS 10 SSE HOU 30 W HOU 40 SW CLL 40 SSE SEP 20 ESE SEP 45 NNE MWL 40 W ADM 15 NNW OKC 35 N END 20 W AVK 35 NW CSM 55 E LBB 50 NNW BGS 15 NNW INK 30 ESE CNM 30 SSE ROW 60 NE 4CR 15 NNE ALS 50 ESE ASE 55 E EGE 15 SSE DEN 35 NNW LHX 45 E LAA 20 W GCK 40 NNE GCK 40 WSW HLC 30 W MCK 30 SE SNY 25 N SNY 15 NNW AIA 65 E CDR 30 NNW 9V9 30 N HON 45 SSE VVV 50 NW EAU 10 SE CWA 30 S MTW 20 WSW JXN 30 WNW MFD 35 E MGW 10 NW RIC 15 ENE AVC 20 SSE PSK 25 SSE JKL 45 SE BWG 55 N MSL 10 ESE CBM 50 SSE MEI 60 SSW PNS ...CONT... 60 SSE MIA 40 S MIA 45 WSW MIA 10 SSW APF 10 SW PIE 30 SW OCF 30 ESE GNV 55 ENE SGJ ...CONT... 50 ENE BLI 15 NNW YKM 45 SW PDT 35 E RDM 20 ESE EUG 25 SSE ONP 50 NNW ONP.