DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0749 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42338679 42218577 41888470 41648330 41118325 40528398 38068584 35688782 33938843 33548926 33849003 34539013 37398984 39578972 40588967 41568918 42028854 42338679 0.05 41838640 41548589 40798555 39718588 38608643 37708714 37138815 37248883 37428911 38638922 40328929 41028902 41418861 41748766 41838640 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49421042 47271271 44661624 43451800 43021915 43332006 44062039 45772023 46391950 47171902 49691895 0.05 38470467 38030439 37240401 36850378 36340367 35920370 35720406 35860451 36370480 37130510 38090541 38440528 38470467 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42167986 41607989 40528077 40468205 39798380 37968598 35768773 34788811 32838849 31788884 31138928 30938976 31009018 31449055 32529054 34869025 36988990 39638971 40618968 41588917 42128846 42458627 42318454 42258263 42308106 42167986 0.05 49501031 47351267 45921457 44531644 43581776 43001914 43342010 43982028 45511993 46111957 47271853 49531593 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41548589 40798555 39718588 38608643 37708714 37138815 37248883 37428911 38638922 40328929 41028902 41418861 41748766 41838640 41548589 MRGL 42288085 42167986 41607989 40528077 40468205 39798380 38128579 38068584 36728698 35768773 34788811 32838849 31788883 31138928 30938976 31009018 31449055 32529054 34869025 36988989 39218974 39578972 39918970 40618968 41588917 42128846 42458627 42318454 42278307 42288085 MRGL 48991087 48791110 47271271 46511381 45921457 45171560 44661624 44531644 43581776 43521789 43451800 43161877 43001914 43342010 43532015 44062039 45772023 46391950 47171902 49001896 MRGL 38030439 37240401 36850378 36340367 35920370 35720406 35860451 36370480 37130510 38090541 38440528 38470467 38030439 TSTM 29440585 31670473 31590163 30010047 28560092 99999999 26809676 28299784 29459663 30559586 39429277 42059221 43219344 44149377 44939240 44908956 44318554 44348421 43948139 99999999 43017928 39397884 37688014 34818282 33808321 32318336 31268425 29148520 99999999 24887975 25458102 27248225 28868240 31538182 34567803 35547504 99999999 35670605 38380661 39920577 39770415 37470238 35960216 34730248 34360393 34970550 35670605 99999999 49350702 46830973 45620961 44161164 43691700 41711967 39242169 37852354 99999999 46132452 46882269 48872026 49522018 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE SBN 25 SW FWA 20 E IND 40 SSE BMG OWB 35 E PAH 15 NNW PAH 25 SSE MDH 15 W SLO 20 WSW BMI 30 SW MMO MMO 40 WNW VPZ 10 NNW SBN 25 ESE SBN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW ERI 15 ENE ERI 15 N FKL 25 NNW HLG 35 SE MFD 25 ESE DAY SDF 10 SW SDF 25 ENE CKV 60 SSW CKV 30 W MSL 40 NNE MEI 35 NE PIB 25 S PIB 40 N ASD 20 SE MCB 20 NNW MCB 70 SSE GLH 20 SW MEM 25 SW CGI 25 NE ALN 20 S SPI SPI PIA 30 WNW MMO 35 E RFD 25 NNE BEH JXN 15 ENE DTW 35 WNW ERI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW HVR 60 ENE CTB 45 NNE 3DU 30 SSE MSO 50 ESE P69 30 NE MYL 15 SSW MYL 30 SW MYL 60 E BNO 55 E BNO 50 ESE BNO 30 SSE BNO 40 SSW BNO 60 WSW BNO 60 W BNO 40 ESE RDM 45 ENE DLS 50 ESE YKM 25 ESE EPH 45 NE OMK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE PUB 20 E TAD 40 ENE RTN 30 WSW CAO 50 SW CAO 45 NW TCC 40 ENE LVS 30 SW RTN 45 WSW TAD 50 WSW PUB 40 SW COS 15 NW PUB 20 SSE PUB. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 WSW MRF 10 SSE GDP 40 SE MAF 50 NNE DRT 55 S DRT ...CONT... 75 NE BRO 10 WSW NIR 45 NNE VCT 25 WSW UTS 50 SSW IRK 30 WNW CID MCW 10 SE MKT 40 E MSP AUW 30 S TVC 25 E HTL 80 E BAX ...CONT... 30 WNW BUF 45 W MRB 10 ESE SSU 20 NNW AND 10 SSE AHN 30 SSE MCN 20 S ABY 40 SSW AAF ...CONT... 70 SSE MIA 50 N MTH 20 ESE SRQ 25 SSW OCF 35 NW SSI 20 NNW ILM 40 NE HSE ...CONT... SAF 20 ESE GUC 50 WNW DEN 40 E DEN 20 NE SPD 20 ESE DHT 55 ENE CVS 35 W CVS 50 SSW LVS SAF ...CONT... 80 NNW GGW 20 SW LWT 40 E LVM 45 SE MQM 40 WNW BOI 50 SE LKV 50 NNW SAC 65 WNW SFO ...CONT... 30 W AST 10 ESE OLM 45 NW OMK 80 NNW OMK.