DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0254 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 42338679 42218577 41888470 41648330 41118325 40528398 38068584 35688782 33938843 33548926 33849003 34539013 37068989 39638971 40148956 41118912 41998854 42338679 0.05 41838640 41548589 40798555 39718588 38608643 37708714 37138815 37248883 37428911 38638922 40328929 41028902 41418861 41748766 41838640 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49421042 47271271 44661624 43451800 43021915 43332006 44062039 45772023 46391950 47171902 49691895 0.05 38470467 38030439 37240401 36850378 36340367 35920370 35350414 35430464 36370480 37130510 38090541 38440528 38470467 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49501031 47351267 45921457 44531644 43441804 43001914 43342010 43982028 45511993 46111957 47271853 49531593 0.05 42167986 41607989 40528077 40468205 39798380 37968598 35768773 34788811 32838849 31788884 31138928 30938976 31009018 31449055 32529054 34869025 36988990 39638971 40168955 41108913 42128846 42458627 42318454 42258263 42308106 42167986 0.15 40328929 41028902 41418861 41748765 41838641 41548589 40798555 39718588 38608643 37708714 37138815 37248883 37428911 38668922 40328929 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 41548589 40798555 39718588 38608643 37708714 37138815 37248883 37428911 38638922 40328929 41028902 41418861 41748766 41838640 41548589 MRGL 49201058 48791110 47271271 46511381 45921457 45171560 44661624 43581776 43451800 43161877 43001914 43342010 43532015 44062039 45772023 46391950 47171902 49141900 MRGL 38030439 37240401 36850378 36340367 35920370 35370410 35440467 36370480 37130510 38090541 38440528 38470467 38030439 MRGL 42288085 42167986 41607989 40528077 40468205 39798380 38068584 36728698 35768773 34788811 32838849 31788883 31138928 30938976 31009018 31449055 32529054 34869025 36988989 39638971 40158955 41108913 42128846 42458627 42318454 42278307 42288085 TSTM 35670605 38380661 39920577 39770415 37310223 36210154 35520148 34810229 34320393 34970550 35670605 99999999 29440585 31670473 31590163 30010047 28560092 99999999 29029383 29749401 32089398 34959299 37929104 39149037 40339141 41199298 41559367 41929394 42649388 43409285 43809079 44078810 44288581 44428429 44018099 44408067 99999999 43017928 39447887 38997992 38688112 38158154 36978231 36498224 35968211 35328173 34568134 33908136 33238174 32438237 31588327 30338395 29138426 99999999 24887975 25458102 27248225 28868240 31658174 34467872 36067770 36837667 36727491 99999999 49590661 47320842 45590955 44161164 43681705 42241976 41392091 40362082 39552046 39082060 38952063 38832076 38742090 38952197 39312290 38142407 99999999 46132452 46882269 48872026 49522018 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE SBN 25 SW FWA 20 E IND 40 SSE BMG OWB 35 E PAH 15 NNW PAH 25 SSE MDH 15 W SLO 20 WSW BMI 30 SW MMO MMO 40 WNW VPZ 10 NNW SBN 25 ESE SBN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW HVR 60 ENE CTB 45 NNE 3DU 30 SSE MSO 50 ESE P69 30 NE MYL 15 SSW MYL 60 E BNO 50 ESE BNO 30 SSE BNO 40 SSW BNO 60 WSW BNO 60 W BNO 40 ESE RDM 45 ENE DLS 50 ESE YKM 25 ESE EPH 50 NNE OMK. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE PUB 20 E TAD 40 ENE RTN 30 WSW CAO 50 SW CAO 30 WNW TCC 30 ESE LVS 30 SW RTN 45 WSW TAD 50 WSW PUB 40 SW COS 15 NW PUB 20 SSE PUB. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW ERI 15 ENE ERI 15 N FKL 25 NNW HLG 35 SE MFD 25 ESE DAY 10 SW SDF 25 ENE CKV 60 SSW CKV 30 W MSL 40 NNE MEI 35 NE PIB 25 S PIB 40 N ASD 20 SE MCB 20 NNW MCB 70 SSE GLH 20 SW MEM 25 SW CGI 15 S SPI 20 NNE SPI 30 SW MMO 35 E RFD 25 NNE BEH JXN 15 ENE DTW 35 WNW ERI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SAF 20 ESE GUC 50 WNW DEN 40 E DEN 20 E SPD 35 S GUY 15 SSW BGD 45 SW AMA 35 W CVS 50 SSW LVS SAF ...CONT... 125 WSW MRF 10 SSE GDP 40 SE MAF 50 NNE DRT 55 S DRT ...CONT... 60 ESE GLS 15 S BPT 25 SSW SHV 20 SSE RUE 35 WNW FAM 25 NW ALN 30 NNW UIN 10 SE OXV DSM 30 NNW DSM 15 ENE FOD 30 NE MCW 25 ESE LSE 20 WSW MTW 20 E MBL 20 ENE HTL 100 E BAX 125 ENE BAX ...CONT... 30 WNW BUF 45 W MRB 10 NNW EKN 35 NE CRW 15 S CRW 35 N TRI 10 E TRI 40 SSE TRI 30 NNE SPA 45 SE SPA 15 W CAE 15 ESE AGS 15 N VDI 45 NE MGR 25 E TLH 60 SE AAF ...CONT... 70 SSE MIA 50 N MTH 20 ESE SRQ 25 SSW OCF 40 NNW SSI 35 SSE FAY 20 NE RWI 25 W ORF 75 E ORF ...CONT... 95 N GGW 55 ENE LWT 45 E LVM 45 SE MQM 40 W BOI 35 E LKV 20 WSW AAT 75 ENE RBL 35 W RNO 35 WNW TVL 35 W TVL 40 W TVL 35 ENE SAC 40 NW SAC 20 NE UKI 85 SW UKI ...CONT... 30 W AST 10 ESE OLM 45 NW OMK 80 NNW OMK.