DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2020 VALID TIME 211200Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35740015 35940098 36590233 37020295 37230298 37490295 38070259 39390090 39409962 39089906 38229848 37379821 36349838 35809910 35759962 35740015 0.02 30310074 30280165 30420196 30970216 31800190 33830093 34020030 33809958 33279926 31440002 30310074 0.05 36440056 36680141 37000192 37340200 37790176 38060143 38150103 38030060 37870030 37640006 37409987 37299977 37049969 36909969 36609997 36440056 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28750325 30340286 32170228 33300176 34860114 35460120 35910223 36510322 36990360 37640358 38380298 39430215 40860098 41260027 41189997 40849930 39689834 38599772 37589731 34659725 32509778 30899867 29959924 28040043 0.15 35730020 35970102 36530221 37010296 37190299 37490295 38130255 39390091 39419961 39079904 38259848 37379822 36359837 35799909 35730020 0.15 30270164 30440200 30980215 31830188 33810094 34020028 33799957 33279928 31480000 30330074 30270164 SIGN 36210000 36400081 36710145 36930187 37130207 37700198 38060174 38400131 38650075 38630033 38469980 38009926 37119888 36409909 36210000 && ... WIND ... 0.05 33148044 33718073 34288070 35428018 35677943 35447813 34887750 34277764 33607866 33247952 33097980 33148044 0.05 25798058 25778105 26148135 26598168 27568185 28058178 28458162 28738137 28738115 28198073 26818021 26268024 26028040 25798058 0.05 28900325 30220290 32070233 33300176 34890113 35460117 35950223 36510322 36990360 37640358 38380298 39430215 40860098 41260027 41189997 40849930 39689834 38939789 37589731 34659725 32549777 30899867 29769934 28080044 0.15 35730020 35970105 36530220 37010296 37190299 37490295 38130255 39400091 39419958 39079904 38259846 37389822 36409836 35799910 35730020 0.15 30280165 30400195 30960215 31880188 33830094 34030032 33809959 33289928 31450001 30310073 30280165 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 35730018 35930093 36580233 37020295 37180298 37500295 38090259 39380091 39419964 39089908 38239846 37369822 36349838 35789912 35730018 SLGT 30320076 30280169 30430197 30980216 31890186 33820093 34020029 33819960 33289928 31460000 30450064 30320076 MRGL 33138042 33708072 34298068 34878043 35418019 35677947 35457814 34877750 34267763 33577873 33097984 33138042 MRGL 28960324 32050233 33390174 34920112 35460118 35930223 36500322 36980359 37650356 38380300 40930090 41240029 41199997 40849930 40629908 39649830 38629773 37579731 34649725 32479779 30609883 29309964 28110041 MRGL 26628170 27588185 28158175 28488161 28728138 28738115 28198072 26808022 26258025 25788056 25788106 26218138 26628170 TSTM 29020399 31210372 33420306 34900292 36000409 36820492 39530542 40560334 41260228 43410109 46550202 47780519 49170697 99999999 49739665 47379600 41789535 39539447 37179180 36719085 36488953 36908859 37758803 38678596 39028331 39398100 39357896 38817722 37757576 36547468 99999999 29968067 29528209 29568396 99999999 29698830 31049173 31479320 31329507 30159561 29219549 28689499 99999999 33198935 32718698 32668374 33158245 34468156 35048275 34778390 34398586 34308838 33978993 33198935 99999999 24827977 25448138 26508214 27548242 28688189 29178143 29418039 99999999 42551814 44141988 45681917 46661529 46631401 46451235 46171063 45640956 44050971 42201322 42011681 42551814 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW CSM 30 ENE BGD 40 SW EHA 25 SW SPD 20 WSW SPD 25 NW SPD LAA 40 E GLD 10 ENE HLC 20 NW RSL 35 WNW HUT 20 ENE P28 25 W END 30 N CSM 60 WNW CSM. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW JCT 35 ENE 6R6 30 NNE 6R6 45 E FST 20 ESE MAF 50 ESE PVW 30 S CDS 60 SE CDS 65 NNE ABI 30 ENE SJT 50 W JCT 60 WSW JCT. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW CHS 20 NNE OGB 35 NE CAE 40 SE CLT 45 ENE CLT 30 N SOP 10 W GSB 10 ENE OAJ 15 E ILM 15 ESE CRE 15 NE CHS 25 NW CHS. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW 6R6 10 NW MAF 20 SSE LBB 40 ESE AMA 20 SE BGD 20 ESE DHT CAO 45 NNW CAO 25 S LHX 30 NW LAA 20 SW LBF 20 ENE LBF 25 SW BBW 20 WNW EAR 10 SSW EAR 35 W CNK 15 SSW SLN 10 SE ICT 25 NNW ADM 25 SE MWL 55 E JCT 30 W HDO 70 NW LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE FMY 30 W AGR 40 SW ORL 20 WSW ORL 10 NNW ORL 15 NE ORL 10 NW MLB 10 NW PBI 30 N MIA 15 W MIA 50 W MIA 25 E APF 10 ENE FMY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S MRF 50 SW INK 50 N HOB 40 NNE CVS 55 SSE RTN 25 WNW RTN 35 WSW DEN 25 NNW AKO 40 ENE SNY 45 NW VTN 40 ESE DIK 30 SE OLF 65 NNW GGW ...CONT... 70 N HCO 40 N DTL 15 S DNS 25 ENE FLV 30 N UNO 20 W POF 35 NNW DYR 15 SE PAH 35 SW EVV 35 NNW SDF 60 WSW UNI 25 E PKB 50 W MRB 10 WSW DCA 20 SW WAL 85 ENE ECG ...CONT... 40 E SGJ 15 SE GNV 50 W CTY ...CONT... 65 SE GPT 40 SE ESF 20 SSW IER 20 WNW LFK 40 NNW HOU LBX 40 SE LBX ...CONT... 45 ESE GWO 25 N SEM MCN 30 WSW AGS 40 SE SPA 30 SSW AVL 65 NNW AHN 30 NNE GAD 20 E TUP 35 NNE GWO 45 ESE GWO ...CONT... 75 SSE MIA 55 NNW MTH 15 WSW FMY 15 NE SRQ 35 WNW ORL 25 W DAB 45 ENE DAB ...CONT... 15 WSW REO 60 NW BNO 15 W PDT 40 NNE P69 20 S MSO 20 WSW HLN 35 NNW LVM 45 E LVM 45 SW COD 35 SE BYI 35 W OWY 15 WSW REO.