DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2020 VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35740015 36670147 37020190 38750183 39390090 39409962 39089906 38229848 37379821 36349838 35809910 35759962 35740015 0.02 33567829 33917856 34487907 34927983 35408017 35687943 35457796 35077704 34667686 34107730 0.02 34189627 34369541 34539418 34099321 33139330 32949409 32819528 33189658 33749675 34189627 0.05 36440056 36710125 37040168 37320175 37790176 38060143 38150103 38030060 37870030 37640006 37409987 37299977 37049969 36909969 36609997 36440056 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28750325 30340286 32170228 33300176 34860114 35460120 37040238 38050253 39430215 40860098 41260027 41189997 40849930 39689834 38599772 37589731 34659725 32509778 30899867 29959924 28040043 0.05 27139950 27299899 27129843 26589811 25989812 0.15 35730020 36130082 36670152 37000191 37850190 38730189 39390091 39419961 39079904 38259848 37379822 36359837 35799909 35730020 0.15 30270164 30440200 30980215 31830188 33810094 34020028 33799957 33279928 31480000 30330074 30270164 SIGN 36210000 36400081 36710145 36850170 37050184 37780190 38060174 38400131 38650075 38630033 38469980 38009926 37119888 36409909 36210000 && ... WIND ... 0.05 25798058 25778105 26148135 26598168 27568185 28058178 28458162 28738137 28738115 28198073 26818021 26268024 26028040 25798058 0.05 28900325 30220290 32070233 33300176 34890113 35460117 37060241 38050253 39430215 40860098 41260027 41189997 40849930 39689834 38939789 37589731 34659725 34279701 34189630 34379537 34549418 34469310 34149190 33019211 32099469 31729755 30609883 29769934 28080044 0.05 32637926 32508030 32588073 33478083 35408018 35697942 35437794 35087704 34687688 33987738 0.05 27129948 27279895 27109842 26589809 25939812 0.15 35730020 36190088 37000189 38720187 39400091 39419958 39079904 38259846 37389822 36409836 35799910 35730020 0.15 30280165 30400195 30960215 31880188 33830094 34030032 33809959 33289928 31450001 30310073 30280165 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30320076 30280169 30430197 30980216 31890186 33820093 34020029 33819960 33289928 31460000 30450064 30320076 SLGT 35730018 36160083 36650151 37000187 38720189 39380091 39419964 39089908 38239846 37369822 36349838 35789912 35730018 MRGL 26628170 27588185 28158175 28488161 28728138 28738115 28198072 26808022 26258025 25788056 25788106 26218138 26628170 MRGL 28960324 32050233 33390174 34920112 35460118 35730141 36240176 37060238 38050253 39430214 40930090 41240029 41199997 40849930 40629908 39649830 38629773 37579731 34649725 34269701 34189631 34369541 34549417 34469311 34149191 33039211 32099469 31729755 30609883 29309964 28110041 MRGL 32657931 32498033 32608076 33458083 35418018 35687943 35457796 35097707 34697687 33987741 MRGL 27139951 27279897 27109841 26599811 25949813 TSTM 29020399 31210372 33420306 34900292 36000409 36820492 39530542 40560334 41260228 43410109 46550202 47780519 49170697 99999999 49739665 47379600 41789535 39539447 37179180 36719085 36488953 36908859 37758803 38678596 39028331 39398100 39357896 38817722 37757576 36547468 99999999 33198935 32718698 32668374 33158245 34468156 35048275 34778390 34398586 34308838 33978993 33198935 99999999 29698830 31049173 31479320 31329507 30159561 29219549 28509479 99999999 24797984 25768224 99999999 42551814 44141988 45681917 46661529 46631401 46451235 46171063 45640956 44050971 42201322 42011681 42551814 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW JCT 35 ENE 6R6 30 NNE 6R6 45 E FST 20 ESE MAF 50 ESE PVW 30 S CDS 60 SE CDS 65 NNE ABI 30 ENE SJT 50 W JCT 60 WSW JCT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW CSM 45 NE BGD GUY EHA 40 SSE ITR 40 E GLD 10 ENE HLC 20 NW RSL 35 WNW HUT 20 ENE P28 25 W END 30 N CSM 60 WNW CSM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE FMY 30 W AGR 40 SW ORL 20 WSW ORL 10 NNW ORL 15 NE ORL 10 NW MLB 10 NW PBI 30 N MIA 15 W MIA 50 W MIA 25 E APF 10 ENE FMY. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW 6R6 10 NW MAF 20 SSE LBB 40 ESE AMA 20 SE BGD BGD 35 SSW GUY 20 SE SPD 10 E LAA 15 NNE ITR 20 SW LBF 20 ENE LBF 25 SW BBW 20 WNW EAR 10 SSW EAR 35 W CNK 15 SSW SLN 10 SE ICT 25 NNW ADM ADM 15 NNE DUA 40 SSE MLC 35 NNE DEQ HOT PBF 35 N MLU 20 S GGG 20 WNW ACT 55 E JCT 30 W HDO 70 NW LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CHS 35 SSW CHS 40 NE SAV OGB 45 ENE CLT 30 N SOP GSB EWN 30 SSE EWN 35 SE ILM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S LRD 35 ESE LRD 50 SSW ALI 30 NNE MFE 20 SSE MFE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S MRF 50 SW INK 50 N HOB 40 NNE CVS 55 SSE RTN 25 WNW RTN 35 WSW DEN 25 NNW AKO 40 ENE SNY 45 NW VTN 40 ESE DIK 30 SE OLF 65 NNW GGW ...CONT... 70 N HCO 40 N DTL 15 S DNS 25 ENE FLV 30 N UNO 20 W POF 35 NNW DYR 15 SE PAH 35 SW EVV 35 NNW SDF 60 WSW UNI 25 E PKB 50 W MRB 10 WSW DCA 20 SW WAL 85 ENE ECG ...CONT... 45 ESE GWO 25 N SEM MCN 30 WSW AGS 40 SE SPA 30 SSW AVL 65 NNW AHN 30 NNE GAD 20 E TUP 35 NNE GWO 45 ESE GWO ...CONT... 65 SE GPT 40 SE ESF 20 SSW IER 20 WNW LFK 40 NNW HOU LBX 60 S GLS ...CONT... 75 SSE MIA 40 SW APF ...CONT... 15 WSW REO 60 NW BNO 15 W PDT 40 NNE P69 20 S MSO 20 WSW HLN 35 NNW LVM 45 E LVM 45 SW COD 35 SE BYI 35 W OWY 15 WSW REO.