DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1101 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2020 VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 33567829 33917856 34487907 34927983 35408017 35687943 35457796 35077704 34667686 34107730 0.02 33559672 33959578 34549415 34099321 33139330 32649449 32219581 32529683 33559672 0.02 35740015 36670147 37020190 38750183 39390090 39409962 39089906 38229848 37379821 36349838 35809910 35759962 35740015 0.05 36440056 36710125 37040168 37320175 37790176 38060143 38150103 38030060 37870030 37640006 37409987 37299977 37049969 36909969 36609997 36440056 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28750325 30340286 32170228 33300176 34860114 35460120 37040238 38050253 39430215 40860098 41260027 41189997 40849930 39689834 38599772 37589731 36349726 34769846 33939883 33199802 32489781 30899867 29959924 28040043 0.05 27139950 27299899 27129843 26589811 25989812 0.05 25808105 26598167 27528191 28048177 28418162 28708140 28768113 28348080 26898024 26208027 25778058 25808105 0.15 35730020 36130082 36670152 37000191 37850190 38730189 39390091 39419961 39079904 38259848 37379822 36359837 35799909 35730020 0.15 30270164 30440200 30980215 31860182 33030097 33209991 32849944 31480000 30330074 30270164 SIGN 36210000 36400081 36710145 36850170 37050184 37780190 38060174 38400131 38650075 38630033 38469980 38009926 37119888 36409909 36210000 && ... WIND ... 0.05 25798058 25778105 26148135 26598168 27568185 28058178 28458162 28738137 28738115 28198073 26818021 26268024 26028040 25798058 0.05 32637926 32508030 32588073 33478083 35408018 35697942 35437794 35087704 34687688 33987738 0.05 28900325 30220290 32070233 33300176 34580124 35610169 37000297 37520300 38280248 39430210 40860098 41260027 41189997 40849930 39809836 37259675 36319655 35339713 34699852 33989886 33289810 33659631 34519441 34489307 34149190 33019211 32099469 31349726 30079866 29149968 28080044 0.05 27129948 27279895 27109842 26589809 25939812 0.15 35730020 36190088 37000189 38720187 39400091 39419958 39079904 38259846 37389822 36409836 35799910 35730020 0.15 30280165 30400195 30960215 31880188 32980096 33209987 33039963 32859946 31450001 30310073 30280165 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 30320076 30280169 30430197 30980216 31900190 33000093 33209991 32859944 31460000 30450064 30320076 SLGT 35730018 36160083 36650151 37000187 38720189 39380091 39419964 39089908 38239846 37369822 36349838 35789912 35730018 MRGL 26628170 27588185 28158175 28488161 28728138 28738115 28198072 26808022 26258025 25788056 25788106 26218138 26628170 MRGL 28960324 32050233 33390174 34580126 35610169 37020298 37550302 38430241 39410210 40930090 41240029 41199997 40849930 40629908 39669826 37279673 36269657 35319715 34719852 33919887 33249808 33679631 34539419 34469311 34149191 33039211 32109469 31369722 29249960 28110041 MRGL 32657931 32498033 32608076 33458083 35418018 35687943 35457796 35097707 34697687 33987741 MRGL 27139951 27279897 27109841 26599811 25949813 TSTM 29698830 31019178 31209257 30739422 30339481 29599532 29219549 28509479 99999999 29020399 30780370 32700277 33820230 34670235 35150274 36060419 36820492 39530542 40560334 41260228 43410109 46370195 46610544 45470832 44180959 42261336 42011510 40871794 41242004 40922090 41882158 44031998 45741923 46641557 46571274 46481112 47160984 49880844 99999999 50159814 46969684 44989622 43909568 41899540 39539447 37179180 36719085 36488953 36908859 37758803 38678596 39028331 39398100 39357896 38817722 37757576 36547468 99999999 24797984 25768224 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW JCT 35 ENE 6R6 30 NNE 6R6 45 E FST 20 E MAF 65 NNE BGS 55 NNW ABI 35 NNE ABI 30 ENE SJT 50 W JCT 60 WSW JCT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW CSM 45 NE BGD GUY EHA 40 SSE ITR 40 E GLD 10 ENE HLC 20 NW RSL 35 WNW HUT 20 ENE P28 25 W END 30 N CSM 60 WNW CSM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE FMY 30 W AGR 40 SW ORL 20 WSW ORL 10 NNW ORL 15 NE ORL 10 NW MLB 10 NW PBI 30 N MIA 15 W MIA 50 W MIA 25 E APF 10 ENE FMY. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW 6R6 10 NW MAF 20 SSE LBB 40 NE PVW 15 WSW BGD 25 SW SPD 30 NW SPD 30 NNE LAA 15 NE ITR 20 SW LBF 20 ENE LBF 25 SW BBW 20 WNW EAR 10 SSW EAR 35 WNW CNK 45 NNE PNC 40 W TUL 25 ESE OKC 10 WNW FSI 20 W SPS 30 N MWL 20 SSE DUA 35 NNE DEQ HOT PBF 35 N MLU 20 S GGG 20 S ACT 25 WSW HDO 70 NW LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CHS 35 SSW CHS 40 NE SAV OGB 45 ENE CLT 30 N SOP GSB EWN 30 SSE EWN 35 SE ILM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S LRD 35 ESE LRD 50 SSW ALI 30 NNE MFE 20 SSE MFE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE GPT 40 SE ESF 20 SW ESF 45 SE LFK 50 SE UTS HOU LBX 60 S GLS ...CONT... 95 S MRF 35 NNE MRF 25 E HOB 30 WNW LBB 50 NW PVW 50 E TCC 50 SSE RTN 25 WNW RTN 35 WSW DEN 25 NNW AKO 40 ENE SNY 45 NW VTN 30 NNE Y22 25 ENE MLS 25 SSE BIL 35 SW COD 30 SE BYI 45 SW TWF WMC 30 ESE AAT 40 SSW AAT 20 SSE LMT 60 WNW BNO 20 W PDT 35 N P69 20 ESE 3DU 40 E HLN 20 WNW LWT 110 NNE HVR ...CONT... 110 NNW HCO FAR 25 SSE VVV 20 NNW OTG DNS 25 ENE FLV 30 N UNO 20 W POF 35 NNW DYR 15 SE PAH 35 SW EVV 35 NNW SDF 60 WSW UNI 25 E PKB 50 W MRB 10 WSW DCA 20 SW WAL 85 ENE ECG ...CONT... 75 SSE MIA 40 SW APF.